Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4968c10ae7e9b13877030ef0fca067bcbe49e0005cd085746bdd314fcac5ab1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 5,707$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.86 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 41c | 5,618$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 5,257$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.02 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 3,871$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 3,744$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.53 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 46c | 2,455$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Over | 41c | 2,262$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.41 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 46c | 1,644$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.12 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 1,285$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.15 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 63c | 1,153$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.66 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 59c | 1,138$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.66 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 1,013$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.49 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 59c | 906.19$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.65 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 47c | 871$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.97 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 652.67$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Over | 60c | 525$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 489.8$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.98 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 39c | 478$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.58 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 7c | 348.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 43c | 281.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.22 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 51c | 241.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 9c | 228.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 70c | 227.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 194.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 61c | 191.86$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 168.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 60c | 152.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 41c | 131$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 99.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 48c | 99.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…eaecbacked Over | 32c | 78.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 42c | 74.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 68c | 73.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…ed67backed Under | 67c | 73.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 43c | 65.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01a…1517backed Over | 41c | 48.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…a1a4backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…4414backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 29.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…e2d0backed Under | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.