TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hull City AFCof Manchester United FC, Hull City AFC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,604 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb552…b70cbacked Hull City AFC74c11,695$8,614 inWon+$3,081.521275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Manchester United FC26c7,560$1,963 inLost-$1,963.316,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Manchester United FC27c5,064$1,367 inLost-$1,367.0188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Hull City AFC73c2,000$1,460 inWon+$5402075%15 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hull City AFC72c1,649$1,188 inWon+$461.551,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Manchester United FC7c1,453$104 inLost-$103.891,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Hull City AFC74c1,000$740 inWon+$2605757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Hull City AFC74c999.99$740 inWon+$2601957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Manchester United FC26c989.88$257 inLost-$257.3759247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Manchester United FC27c575$155 inLost-$155.258637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Manchester United FC28c535.71$150 inLost-$1504959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Manchester United FC28c357.14$100 inLost-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed Manchester United FC28c294.43$83 inLost-$83.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Hull City AFC75c266.67$200 inWon+$66.6714949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Manchester United FC14c252.71$36 inLost-$36.0357833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdde3…a6a0backed Manchester United FC28c214.96$60 inLost-$60.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Hull City AFC73c205$149 inWon+$55.91,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Manchester United FC27c154.21$42 inLost-$42.1323243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Manchester United FC29c137.93$40 inLost-$4023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Manchester United FC8c130$10 inLost-$10.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Manchester United FC26c128.87$34 inLost-$33.9655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Manchester United FC27c118.5$32 inLost-$31.539735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester United FC27c111.11$30 inLost-$3037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8f…aebfbacked Manchester United FC28c107.14$30 inLost-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Manchester United FC28c103.75$29 inLost-$29.056334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Hull City AFC73c99.99$73 inWon+$2719834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Manchester United FC28c71.43$20 inLost-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Hull City AFC73c68.49$50 inWon+$18.492867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeee6…3848backed Hull City AFC77c64.94$50 inWon+$14.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Manchester United FC27c60.01$16 inLost-$1610248%49 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Manchester United FC28c55$15 inLost-$15.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Manchester United FC27c53$14 inLost-$14.3115547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Manchester United FC27c44.81$12 inLost-$11.955058%29 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester United FC26c43$11 inLost-$11.181,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Hull City AFC73c40$29 inWon+$10.64062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Hull City AFC74c14.64$11 inWon+$3.7512554.4%68 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.