TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Over62c30,751$19,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,065.616857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under16c25,014$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,033.861936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Over60c24,591$14,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,658.771050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under38c23,483$8,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,559.467635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under30c15,513$4,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,927.8495332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over62c11,667$7,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,235.8421440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under29c11,619$3,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,262.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under38c10,448$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,477.5813348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over10c10,050$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.51714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-81.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c9,353$5,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,785.36,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c7,609$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,565.371,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Under42c7,060$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.81323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under16c6,606$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,523.867143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Over60c6,496$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,897.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under51c4,703$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.6138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c4,409$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.7975542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under13c3,992$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,466.122817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over79c3,923$3,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,087.814,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over71c3,911$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,766.2145249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over61c3,627$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.7185048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over61c3,541$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.9855351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under49c3,008$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.852920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over63c2,987$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.2257847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under38c2,631$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.215740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.12653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over78c2,495$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.81,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747a…1e3ebacked Over54c2,374$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under40c2,140$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2841827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under39c2,131$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.3581234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c2,079$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.4880853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Over62c1,775$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under40c1,568$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.87361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over79c1,479$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.7754132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under38c1,431$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.2318253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under14c1,218$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+62.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under38c1,174$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.973145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Over61c1,110$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.812441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over70c1,088$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.971,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over60c1,071$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.192,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under31c1,000$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6952941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+69.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Under38c847.37$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.37757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c790.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.1169651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.671526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f38…14a8backed Over62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2906350.8%32 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002626.9%7 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c470$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.941,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Over62c469.35$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c467$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over62c460.82$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over61c413.47$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.789735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over49c407.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.588643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c372.09$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3653240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2288445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Over80c298.39$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.71450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over65c290.51$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8869742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a0…2dcbbacked Under39c282.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under42c275.54$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4611217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over58c274.39$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.153339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under39c250.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.952060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over62c245.66$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.314027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3164…cd37backed Over62c242.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Under39c241.95$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.592356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under26c230.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7710847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under43c229.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.092147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over65c229.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4726…ff2bbacked Under46c217.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.49650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4626…d40bbacked Over62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12217062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Under39c192.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.317847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Over70c191.67$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.17666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under38c187.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.481070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over70c185$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.55949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b28…e3c6backed Over63c171.94$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d8…cab8backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under40c156$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb18…6f32backed Under39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.85475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over77c149.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7972658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.