Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91d9274c9ae48c1da144fe369edf65041d9fe2c0577e6f66a5fbf17c1df79380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hull City AFCof Manchester United FC, Hull City AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Manchester United FC | 48c | 94,218$45,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,196.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc099…4a37backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 85,620$42,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,173.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Manchester United FC | 50c | 42,133$20,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,996.13 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Hull City AFC | 50c | 39,026$19,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,512.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 32,279$16,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,458.6 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 29,125$15,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,896.78 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Hull City AFC | 50c | 23,431$11,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,705.87 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Manchester United FC | 50c | 22,444$11,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,222.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Hull City AFC | 50c | 15,000$7,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,469.98 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 13,714$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,651.65 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Hull City AFC | 52c | 11,115$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.38 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 10,282$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 8,201$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.09 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 8,116$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.82 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Hull City AFC | 50c | 7,920$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.78 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Hull City AFC | 52c | 7,735$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.66 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Hull City AFC | 52c | 5,950$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.99 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 5,500$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 5,251$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.8 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…bb8abacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 4,074$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.85 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Manchester United FC | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…6b86backed Hull City AFC | 53c | 3,780$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.01 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Manchester United FC | 47c | 3,726$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.16 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Hull City AFC | 50c | 3,606$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.99 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Manchester United FC | 50c | 3,531$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Hull City AFC | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 3,210$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.66 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 3,136$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.64 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 2,992$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.01 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Manchester United FC | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Manchester United FC | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.23 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 2,375$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 2,254$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Hull City AFC | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hull City AFC | 50c | 1,776$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester United FC | 18c | 1,711$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Hull City AFC | 56c | 1,697$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Manchester United FC | 49c | 1,682$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.13 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Manchester United FC | 50c | 1,512$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.77 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Hull City AFC | 50c | 1,216$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Manchester United FC | 44c | 1,165$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.44 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 1,119$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.6 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Manchester United FC | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 1,102$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.37 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Manchester United FC | 47c | 1,067$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Manchester United FC | 5c | 1,060$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 1,048$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Manchester United FC | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Manchester United FC | 15c | 999.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 971.71$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Manchester United FC | 50c | 966.98$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.49 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Hull City AFC | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Hull City AFC | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Hull City AFC | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…2c4dbacked Manchester United FC | 50c | 870.32$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hull City AFC | 53c | 780.69$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.45 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…36f9backed Manchester United FC | 5c | 660$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 636.73$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 616.33$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…d976backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Hull City AFC | 53c | 555.76$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Manchester United FC | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb2…97edbacked Manchester United FC | 49c | 493.92$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Hull City AFC | 53c | 441.61$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Hull City AFC | 69c | 435.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…99e9backed Manchester United FC | 48c | 417.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Hull City AFC | 58c | 416.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.77 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…b186backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 404.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Manchester United FC | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Hull City AFC | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Hull City AFC | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Manchester United FC | 50c | 389.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Hull City AFC | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 369.76$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Hull City AFC | 52c | 359$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.32 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…4b79backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 351.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Manchester United FC | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Hull City AFC | 51c | 326.18$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.