TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Hull City AFC O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,545 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c1,455$1,150 inWon+$305.221,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over32c636$201 inLost-$200.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Over25c504.85$127 inLost-$127.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over5c431.53$21 inLost-$21.2148950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c414.01$316 inWon+$98.264,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over5c330$15 inLost-$14.8515547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under76c187.97$142 inWon+$45.911,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over33c151.52$50 inLost-$505932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Over21c150$31 inLost-$31.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c110.57$27 inLost-$27.2214144%62 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over21c90.41$19 inLost-$18.545429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.