TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over9c9,690$899 inLost-$899.486,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c7,089$513 inLost-$513.134,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over8c3,470$278 inLost-$277.6313633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c2,766$225 inLost-$224.591,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over8c1,832$150 inLost-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over4c1,567$60 inLost-$6060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x123f…8d5fbacked Over10c1,013$101 inLost-$101.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Over5c1,000$50 inLost-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+270.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over5c961.94$49 inLost-$48.8548950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over9c952.06$82 inLost-$81.7659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over10c897.7$90 inLost-$89.774131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over8c883.99$71 inLost-$70.7217339.9%69 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over7c662.66$45 inLost-$44.9457833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over3c488$15 inLost-$14.641936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc88…25dabacked Over9c460.56$41 inLost-$41.452114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Over7c435$30 inLost-$30.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over8c390$31 inLost-$31.29735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over5c227.85$10 inLost-$10.311,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over8c212$17 inLost-$16.9611217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over8c175.37$14 inLost-$13.5333551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over11c153.3$17 inLost-$16.869358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over11c144.11$16 inLost-$15.859660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over11c116$13 inLost-$12.7614253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30f…ab88backed Over12c85.67$10 inLost-$10.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.