TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Over38c35,407$13,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,454.8518758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under61c21,716$13,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,517.031275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…c1bbbacked Under57c14,454$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,153.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under62c14,234$8,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,408.737635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c12,157$5,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,910.7395332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Over59c11,487$6,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,777.331631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under62c11,300$7,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2943063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c10,846$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,533.54,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c8,828$5,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,678.936,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under62c7,526$4,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.0253240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Under62c7,258$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.062045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over40c6,792$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.8945249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Under61c6,261$3,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.796857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over60c4,700$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.056435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over42c4,168$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.71,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c1,742$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.2375542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over60c1,588$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over41c1,540$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.422443.8%98 W · 126 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under48c1,467$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over39c1,400$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5461136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over39c1,238$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.721844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over38c1,160$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.889735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over43c1,039$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.1469742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38069651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38080853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under63c999.97$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.996225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under64c919.24$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.935757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Under60c906.66$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under40c750.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.256445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over38c742.56$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9655351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c729.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1254132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Under62c711.67$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.433145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under45c661.89$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.891936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under62c629.02$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.034027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under65c610.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.881952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afc…317abacked Over43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under62c512$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.565750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under56c468.27$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed Over58c444$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over43c428$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.042326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over36c424$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6420059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under61c399.97$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9921548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under55c364.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.981546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4b9…7e45backed Under68c302$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over44c291.19$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.31,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under56c272$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0428443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under62c260.49$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.459660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under61c256.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.039358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under80c251.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1810850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under58c242.04$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4512654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Under61c196.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over33c186.27$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.367844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…6e9bbacked Under74c182.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.431163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under62c181.7$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.053339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over56c175.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over38c167$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7757847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under41c166.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.237550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c166.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2472658.7%426 W · 300 L+48.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…481bbacked Under74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.16875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over42c155.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6111049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under62c153.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.917447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.513444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over38c149$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7513742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Over57c134.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.524245.2%19 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a59…6961backed Over29c134.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under45c134.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4477236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under62c129$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0212136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over38c126.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0721440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under68c121.26$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3927356.4%154 W · 119 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under61c119.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e03…8b79backed Over58c118.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.841643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under62c113.88$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.271070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb371…472abacked Under62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.866746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c105$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7540721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under57c104.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.941060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Under43c100.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.854854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2c9…ccbabacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under62c90.65$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.453871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.455254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Under64c82.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over41c80.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.175937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.84062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under66c79$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.862147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Under62c72.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4818748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.