TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Hull City AFCof Hull City AFC, Manchester United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,081 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Hull City AFC7c8,006$588 inWon+$7,418.381,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hull City AFC3c3,189$80 inWon+$3,109.022,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Hull City AFC3c2,977$77 inWon+$2,899.524533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Hull City AFC3c1,984$50 inWon+$1,934.4359247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Manchester United FC1c1,580$16 inLost-$15.62941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+114.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Manchester United FC68c730$498 inLost-$497.861662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…14ffbacked Hull City AFC33c664.97$222 inWon+$442.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Manchester United FC51c587.53$300 inLost-$30018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Manchester United FC55c451$249 inLost-$249.41963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Manchester United FC55c363.42$200 inLost-$2002962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Manchester United FC67c361.92$241 inLost-$241.041,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Hull City AFC3c344.83$10 inWon+$334.832556%14 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+142%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Hull City AFC58c279.97$161 inWon+$118.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Manchester United FC53c251.45$134 inLost-$133.977844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4731…36d7backed Hull City AFC40c242.91$96 inWon+$146.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Hull City AFC56c234.55$132 inWon+$102.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Hull City AFC45c221.73$100 inWon+$121.7310343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hull City AFC46c194.42$90 inWon+$104.634,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hull City AFC25c182.55$45 inWon+$137.131,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Manchester United FC52c180$93 inLost-$93.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59bb…ddfcbacked Manchester United FC69c145.99$100 inLost-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Hull City AFC56c125$70 inWon+$54.877032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Manchester United FC54c111$60 inLost-$59.726746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Manchester United FC66c101.66$68 inLost-$67.564035%14 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Manchester United FC52c100$52 inLost-$5255654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Manchester United FC44c97.55$43 inLost-$42.811241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Manchester United FC74c68.92$51 inLost-$50.6812554.4%68 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Hull City AFC37c68$25 inWon+$42.8311049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hull City AFC28c67.94$19 inWon+$49.1657833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Manchester United FC31c50$16 inLost-$15.657652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Manchester United FC44c45$20 inLost-$19.766038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90aa…bb09backed Manchester United FC52c38.68$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f1…3b8ebacked Manchester United FC55c36.36$20 inLost-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe22…2ee8backed Manchester United FC67c34.14$23 inLost-$22.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9001…4149backed Manchester United FC68c30.7$21 inLost-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Manchester United FC63c21.29$13 inLost-$13.435429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.