Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Kent vs Nottinghamshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe49fc597393f9ed391a2becfccf76f8b8b3f99deaea21383a94833f2fe9211aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentof Kent, Nottinghamshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kent | 59c | 1,262$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.38 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nottinghamshire | 32c | 752.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.31 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nottinghamshire | 27c | 689.09$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nottinghamshire | 42c | 393$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Nottinghamshire | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nottinghamshire | 22c | 265.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kent | 76c | 250$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kent | 80c | 206.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nottinghamshire | 46c | 133.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Kent | 59c | 126$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Kent | 62c | 110.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Nottinghamshire | 29c | 98.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nottinghamshire | 42c | 98.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nottinghamshire | 49c | 91.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Nottinghamshire | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Nottinghamshire | 50c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kent | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Nottinghamshire | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nottinghamshire | 42c | 69.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kent | 61c | 61.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nottinghamshire | 43c | 53.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f3…cf28backed Nottinghamshire | 39c | 50.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kent | 51c | 50.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Kent | 74c | 49.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kent | 58c | 43.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Kent | 60c | 40.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kent | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Kent | 47c | 28.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Kent | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Nottinghamshire | 40c | 26.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Kent | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Kent | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Kent | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.