TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Robert Strombachs vs Kai Wehnelt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kai Wehneltof Robert Strombachs, Kai Wehnelt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Robert Strombachs27c73,144$20,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,040.2874439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kai Wehnelt70c30,451$21,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,179.268,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kai Wehnelt80c19,859$15,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,022.9711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kai Wehnelt79c3,041$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.158,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kai Wehnelt70c2,207$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.188358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kai Wehnelt79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42053043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kai Wehnelt56c1,201$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.152,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Kai Wehnelt74c1,078$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2136946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Robert Strombachs19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19046551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd3…3137backed Robert Strombachs20c971.97$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Robert Strombachs47c901.75$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.251,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Robert Strombachs21c900$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18931237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Robert Strombachs18c800$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5210647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kai Wehnelt77c592.43$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.234,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Kai Wehnelt80c506.96$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.144060%24 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Robert Strombachs47c427$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6935747.9%171 W · 186 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kai Wehnelt79c405$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.431,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Kai Wehnelt73c342.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.533,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Robert Strombachs23c339.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7722020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a2…ae28backed Robert Strombachs49c338.48$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.211612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-71.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Robert Strombachs16c299.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Kai Wehnelt54c254$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8436545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2f…5e19backed Kai Wehnelt59c251.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6310761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc40…6ae3backed Robert Strombachs46c237.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.095752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Robert Strombachs11c230.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510233.3%34 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Robert Strombachs46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Robert Strombachs23c215.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020939.7%83 W · 126 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Robert Strombachs21c215$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Kai Wehnelt55c212.96$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9624446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Kai Wehnelt80c204.34$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x876f…bbb9backed Kai Wehnelt54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923560%21 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Robert Strombachs10c183.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924231%75 W · 167 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f3…cf28backed Robert Strombachs22c183.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Kai Wehnelt51c178$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0815349.7%76 W · 77 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…1753backed Kai Wehnelt80c175$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Kai Wehnelt73c168.88$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.651,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Kai Wehnelt77c167.97$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.221,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kai Wehnelt77c167$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.526,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Kai Wehnelt76c162$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.145,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Kai Wehnelt69c154.89$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.341,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e3…d1a9backed Robert Strombachs22c146.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Robert Strombachs43c145.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2130642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Robert Strombachs46c144$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.247,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Kai Wehnelt72c134$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.521,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Robert Strombachs10c105$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2764837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Robert Strombachs41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4144946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Robert Strombachs18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Robert Strombachs22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6329552.2%154 W · 141 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d9…4968backed Robert Strombachs29c97.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2912641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Kai Wehnelt76c96.19$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.611,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Kai Wehnelt78c92.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed Kai Wehnelt56c89.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5710956%61 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Kai Wehnelt54c85.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.225542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Robert Strombachs46c70.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5128954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Robert Strombachs22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5429…83c2backed Robert Strombachs30c67.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020128.4%57 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kai Wehnelt80c64.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Kai Wehnelt78c60.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2348152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…c501backed Kai Wehnelt79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Robert Strombachs47c57.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2728343.8%124 W · 159 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Kai Wehnelt61c57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.232,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Kai Wehnelt71c55.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.351,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Robert Strombachs46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Kai Wehnelt53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521056.2%118 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Kai Wehnelt54c48.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4821240.6%86 W · 126 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Robert Strombachs46c43.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9915557.4%89 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Robert Strombachs47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012742.5%54 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa584…c9adbacked Kai Wehnelt55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee0…64b1backed Robert Strombachs47c33.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Kai Wehnelt54c30.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.118666.7%124 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Kai Wehnelt63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.134864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Robert Strombachs43c29.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Robert Strombachs46c28.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.054,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Kai Wehnelt53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1669545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Kai Wehnelt53c27.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1628442.3%120 W · 164 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Robert Strombachs45c27.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd16f…9713backed Kai Wehnelt76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.329557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa05f…2465backed Kai Wehnelt53c26.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.328067.5%54 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Kai Wehnelt64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5670254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2481…878dbacked Kai Wehnelt54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Kai Wehnelt64c17.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4521536.7%79 W · 136 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.