TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$422,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $422,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x447f…a05ebacked Yes44c45,828$20,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,245.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Yes47c38,560$18,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,123.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No53c24,757$13,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,635.573852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes29c24,535$7,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,151.8972335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No60c20,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c15,912$9,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,866.931,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes20c12,898$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.4860%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No61c12,332$7,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,786.121080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes32c11,836$3,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,844.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No58c10,000$5,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,246.9710543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No72c9,303$6,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.768440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No77c8,827$6,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.838253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No54c7,364$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.643839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c6,915$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.4863346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No52c6,882$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,281.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes23c6,399$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.554346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8206952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes35c4,983$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.144757.4%27 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No39c4,967$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.651844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+164.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No39c4,785$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.763732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No52c4,718$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.7888631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes56c3,729$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.3218736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes52c3,456$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.0860136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes47c3,304$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.0444033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No55c3,169$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.2346741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebae…fb79backed Yes49c3,080$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes48c3,000$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No52c2,985$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.691136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+96.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No54c2,590$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.4643252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes48c2,156$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.94344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes48c2,008$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.475446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No57c1,894$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.7591537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes43c1,872$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.966659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c1,827$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.911,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No53c1,757$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.7937649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No45c1,690$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.732437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004341.9%18 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+104.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c1,482$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8627236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes49c1,438$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.922839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes48c1,388$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.2327031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8538…ee29backed Yes24c1,369$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No78c1,281$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.063764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Yes21c1,184$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No71c1,127$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.336470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes44c1,123$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.4852046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No59c1,113$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.9920241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3642…757dbacked No61c1,090$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No74c1,072$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.651631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+159.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No66c984.14$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.338040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes61c983.56$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.093369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No54c900$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes56c885.01$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.982343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f9…0b71backed Yes41c862.22$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No44c860.89$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.352157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked No59c852.57$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5611100%11 W · 0 L+5.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c836.77$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9639743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes54c827.95$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.962142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No40c820$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0612…8d12backed Yes61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No70c811.02$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.081968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No43c806.26$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.273240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Yes47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes44c766.69$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5714645.9%67 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes30c741.76$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.314238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Yes69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick69cpaid-63.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes48c693.75$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-66.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No51c663.49$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+163.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No71c651.3$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.273852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf505…8862backed Yes48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No52c612.71$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.12373.9%17 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+62.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c593.28$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9116047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c580.83$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes26c567.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.12123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid+23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No62c545.24$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.111741%48 W · 69 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No43c542.51$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c536.72$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6436142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No53c499.8$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9118250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes44c499.34$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.086734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No54c493.82$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.164129.3%12 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes34c482.37$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.213839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes47c481.71$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.168237.8%31 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes44c477.29$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8213649.3%67 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes41c450.22$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.138250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No53c449.32$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8824545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c432.09$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.764027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes45c424.44$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1913655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No46c423$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.195538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No66c419$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7211952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No49c410$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.42948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd7…7a69backed Yes25c404.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-82%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec39…64bbbacked No74c398.31$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes41c394$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.541330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No67c392.51$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2710539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes37c390.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.333935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes59c372.72$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.228155.6%45 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed No73c370.77$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.11875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes18c362.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No52c359.96$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.7813936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.