Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd3f87adf6ffc4ca07f190e207d6eda193df59548b4a0c8a7fb18349782e840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $522,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 42c | 163,746$68,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,051.34 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 58c | 54,728$31,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,954.43 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked 1win | 49c | 39,295$19,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,300.91 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 1win | 36c | 21,525$7,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,655.65 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 20,234$10,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,440.65 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Falcons | 58c | 19,750$11,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,367.49 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed 1win | 47c | 11,676$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,504.1 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 11,339$6,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.83 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 8,591$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.41 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 57c | 8,584$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.56 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 35c | 8,529$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Team Falcons | 57c | 8,410$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 7,904$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.97 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 7,386$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.3 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 1win | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons | 78c | 5,811$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.12 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 5,711$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.32 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 5,276$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 4,928$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.4 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 55c | 4,612$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.1 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 4,474$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.19 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked 1win | 45c | 4,446$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked 1win | 48c | 4,439$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.12 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked 1win | 14c | 4,424$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.49 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed 1win | 53c | 3,987$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 3,982$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.9 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed 1win | 40c | 3,735$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 3,200$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 3,193$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.87 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 22c | 3,061$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.86 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,969$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.19 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 37c | 2,913$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.17 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed 1win | 47c | 2,830$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.01 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 2,828$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.64 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Falcons | 66c | 2,439$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.21 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,261$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.75 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,954$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.51 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,840$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.43 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,673$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.69 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,663$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,595$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.08 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,466$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,443$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.52 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed 1win | 47c | 1,401$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed 1win | 42c | 1,365$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,325$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.09 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,318$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.41 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked 1win | 2c | 1,315$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,300$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.55 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 33c | 1,300$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,293$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.88 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed 1win | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed 1win | 4c | 1,187$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,113$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.98 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.92 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,015$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.73 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 24c | 1,010$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked 1win | 45c | 1,009$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.83 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Team Falcons | 50c | 998$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed 1win | 43c | 996.72$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.02 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Falcons | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 52c | 963.42$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.42 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed 1win | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…f30fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 840$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 817.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.47 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 73c | 817.92$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…21e0backed 1win | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Falcons | 61c | 788.01$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.9 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons | 65c | 781.49$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.44 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 775.96$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 52c | 761.8$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.66 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed Team Falcons | 54c | 653.02$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.16 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked 1win | 45c | 646$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed 1win | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Falcons | 79c | 638.02$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.61 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1win | 49c | 631.67$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.52 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked 1win | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…b14dbacked 1win | 46c | 598.69$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Team Falcons | 58c | 588.36$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.13 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 1win | 47c | 587.23$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed 1win | 54c | 555.14$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.49 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 550$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked 1win | 13c | 518.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked 1win | 48c | 513.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.94 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Falcons | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Team Falcons | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.