Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x528874c773c3c10a7068d5dda35a2c6b77e43750289de66fa431108d7130aec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $929,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 42c | 158,999$66,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,282.3 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 38,607$16,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,861.13 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked 1win | 42c | 33,797$14,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,221.75 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed 1win | 48c | 32,705$15,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,855.82 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 59c | 28,642$16,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,814.55 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…2b82backed 1win | 1c | 25,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked Team Falcons | 55c | 22,630$12,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,092.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed 1win | 48c | 20,559$9,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,807.47 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 1win | 41c | 20,200$8,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,225.8 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Falcons | 44c | 18,434$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,338.46 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 1win | 75c | 16,593$12,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,482.65 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 57c | 16,220$9,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.73 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Team Falcons | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked 1win | 59c | 14,211$8,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400.75 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 48c | 12,000$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 58c | 11,244$6,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.63 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 63c | 10,946$6,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,012.1 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Falcons | 61c | 10,423$6,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.83 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed 1win | 40c | 9,443$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.15 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Falcons | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 7,919$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.98 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 1win | 43c | 7,640$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.29 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 7,105$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 54c | 7,037$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.6 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons | 43c | 6,152$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.62 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 57c | 6,149$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.87 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 66c | 6,033$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.58 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked 1win | 37c | 5,930$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.66 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 5,226$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.62 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 5,204$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.76 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…d698backed Team Falcons | 61c | 5,026$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 64c | 5,000$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.26 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,204$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.74 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 48c | 3,949$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.73 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,916$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.21 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 47c | 3,769$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.13 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,745$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,600$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.74 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 46c | 3,586$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.32 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed 1win | 29c | 3,576$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.09 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Falcons | 45c | 3,475$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.48 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 3,435$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.73 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 1win | 50c | 3,414$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.96 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Falcons | 61c | 3,351$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.14 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked 1win | 46c | 3,254$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…bf3abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,181$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 67c | 3,084$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.83 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 63c | 2,993$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.77 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,763$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.94 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 54c | 2,675$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.29 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,576$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.77 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,458$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.38 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,189$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.39 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,000$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked 1win | 67c | 1,940$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed 1win | 38c | 1,940$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.2 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked 1win | 37c | 1,891$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.08 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,856$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.31 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Falcons | 66c | 1,814$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.8 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed 1win | 41c | 1,804$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.49 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,642$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.94 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 41c | 1,604$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.3 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed 1win | 46c | 1,570$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.18 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,537$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.88 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,506$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.11 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Team Falcons | 64c | 1,500$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.7 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…be15backed 1win | 55c | 1,484$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,467$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.21 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,320$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.01 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,291$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.88 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed 1win | 48c | 1,241$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Falcons | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.04 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed 1win | 45c | 1,140$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.28 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed 1win | 17c | 1,100$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,082$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.81 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 45c | 1,066$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.78 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,061$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.08 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…2806backed 1win | 41c | 1,032$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed 1win | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 45c | 971.17$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.44 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 955.95$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.35 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed 1win | 37c | 942$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.12 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 906.96$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Falcons | 56c | 888$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.72 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Falcons | 35c | 869.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.12 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked 1win | 41c | 856.64$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…f30fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 840$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 60c | 830.45$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.18 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.