South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12464b274fe3e4f7721f9d5c4673cbab38fdf001ec9a8796439a1da4a931b850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 30c | 7,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.98 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 5,834$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.92 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 11c | 4,146$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.3 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 3,241$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.23 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 1,846$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.19 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 71c | 1,600$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.35 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 1,524$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.96 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 1,326$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.33 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 1,071$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.27 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 1,046$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f3…cf28backed No | 6c | 1,010$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 16c | 794$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.96 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 47c | 417.24$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 22c | 327.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Yes | 30c | 293.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 18c | 279.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 277.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 255$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 6c | 253$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…a7dbbacked Yes | 29c | 220.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 36c | 210$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 70c | 175$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 164.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 69c | 160.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 64c | 155.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 63c | 139$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…d93bbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…32c0backed No | 19c | 124.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 70c | 115.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Yes | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed No | 70c | 114.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 29c | 105.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Yes | 74c | 105.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 69c | 98.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…8038backed Yes | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 58c | 68.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 59c | 67.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 77c | 58.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 50.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 49.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…0a3dbacked Yes | 69c | 45.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 29c | 41.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +212.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 29c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 70c | 35.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 35.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 28.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed No | 76c | 22.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 70c | 19.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…83dbbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.