TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes16c19,876$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.192,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes3c7,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.053821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes23c4,928$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.0449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes17c4,792$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.7123733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes14c3,595$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.3720665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes18c2,481$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.666553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes19c2,256$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7319846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes14c2,200$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2546530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c2,104$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.713,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No79c2,103$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.621,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes18c1,822$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9631039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No76c1,578$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.782,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes20c1,315$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.741,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes18c1,058$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.891,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No74c988$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8812755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes53c976.42$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.464456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c894.96$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.648,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Yes68c779.77$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.85540%22 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No79c757.78$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.338268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes5c696.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.348818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes5c672.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No78c591.99$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.941,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No37c488.31$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1211143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No44c456.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.712340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No77c454.55$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.559752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes9c439.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+53.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes19c347.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9510875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes18c328.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1329047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No78c327.12$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.581,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes3c322.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes69c300$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.110364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes50c297.18$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4812065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes20c262.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5812737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes19c246.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9114570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes21c214.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.153630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes11c210.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.976144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8e…32c0backed Yes10c197.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes18c176$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.415768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No57c175.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.375632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes63c167.44$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No77c167$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No75c165.93$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6321765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No74c142.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.122,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No76c138.33$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.582,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3743…7bc1backed No40c124.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.152642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes19c118.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.545154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes68c112.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0910766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes23c107$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.614148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Yes21c98.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.932343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes25c96.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.754841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes20c95.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8116751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No61c92.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.131,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…ab54backed Yes20c90.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.112420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No57c87.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No29c87.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.512535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2167…5dedbacked Yes19c86.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.341838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes16c83.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes19c78.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes19c78.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No80c75.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.336561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.826540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes19c54.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes23c53.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.255946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.231,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No37c49.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8414335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No80c44.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.129244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa29c…0a3dbacked Yes51c43.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes24c42.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2516234.6%56 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x083e…81a1backed No80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.53063.3%19 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick77cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd60c…9481backed Yes27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No73c37.04$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes47c29.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.661,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No77c28.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4253836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…91f4backed Yes71c27.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a5…307abacked Yes45c26.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5483…5e9fbacked No41c24.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.513444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No76c23.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.483855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…48fabacked No76c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3600…d8a6backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.57100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+84.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.