Serie A · resolved market
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9efedc6776e4c91a6d0fba488afd0df3c703881ef32427accbe093b184470684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,615,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,157,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,615,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x983e…6748backed Yes | 51c | 1,494,162$762,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732,139.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…644cbacked Yes | 51c | 462,602$236,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,516.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 49c | 379,000$185,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,709.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +104%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 51c | 153,705$78,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,315.54 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed No | 51c | 148,881$75,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,554.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 49c | 143,713$70,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,419.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 47c | 136,286$64,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,034.96 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 49c | 110,290$54,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,042.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 49c | 94,064$46,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,079.14 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 40c | 87,841$35,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,336.15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 49c | 73,075$36,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,006.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 49c | 65,010$31,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,854.9 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 50c | 61,510$30,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,555.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 49c | 60,790$30,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,772.53 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed No | 49c | 47,500$23,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,275 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 49c | 42,908$21,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,025 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…02abbacked No | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…66f3backed No | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 51c | 39,689$20,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,447.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 49c | 35,014$17,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,150.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 43c | 34,640$14,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,693.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 49c | 34,475$16,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,892.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Yes | 44c | 34,433$15,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,282.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 50c | 32,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x995f…be04backed No | 49c | 32,000$15,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,680 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 49c | 30,006$14,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,702.84 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 49c | 26,585$13,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,026.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 49c | 26,300$12,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,830.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 25,325$11,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,889.22 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 49c | 24,819$12,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,161.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 49c | 23,642$11,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,584.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 48c | 21,102$10,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,041.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 49c | 19,023$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,259.94 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 50c | 18,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 49c | 17,961$8,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…cc4bbacked No | 49c | 17,000$8,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked Yes | 51c | 17,000$8,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…c50abacked No | 48c | 15,481$7,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,448.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 53c | 15,236$8,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,227.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 49c | 13,701$6,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,713.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 13,063$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780.4 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 11,166$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330.29 | 2,023 | 39.4%798 W · 1,225 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +209%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 49c | 10,482$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 49c | 10,400$5,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…6f49backed No | 49c | 10,104$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 48c | 10,020$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…795bbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Yes | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 58c | 9,523$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.7 | 380 | 39.7%151 W · 229 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 8,895$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,317.67 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 49c | 8,309$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 49c | 7,880$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 49c | 7,605$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 50c | 7,351$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,673.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 48c | 7,257$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.61 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 49c | 7,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed No | 57c | 7,000$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 49c | 6,892$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.46 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 57c | 6,853$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.71 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 49c | 6,518$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 51c | 6,284$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 5,934$2,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.79 | 446 | 54.7%244 W · 202 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 5,856$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.45 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked No | 49c | 5,757$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 49c | 5,200$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…24aebacked Yes | 47c | 5,042$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 52c | 4,602$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 48c | 4,557$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked No | 49c | 4,334$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 45c | 4,235$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.58 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed No | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 51c | 4,060$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.88 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 50c | 3,895$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.22 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 3,808$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.15 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 3,582$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.05 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked No | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 2,950$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.58 | 348 | 52.9%184 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 74c | 2,762$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 49c | 2,741$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 49c | 2,520$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.51 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 2,477$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.67 | 360 | 46.4%167 W · 193 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 51c | 2,444$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 2,410$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.06 | 412 | 53.2%219 W · 193 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.