Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ba85125507d0683deb713b2968eaf5a626b039eab960fa4e2d4715b9807c72a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 15c | 40,000$6,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,170 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 9,008$5,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.66 | 380 | 39.7%151 W · 229 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 8,078$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.96 | 720 | 50.1%361 W · 359 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 1c | 6,374$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 2,961$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.72 | 446 | 54.7%244 W · 202 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3456…57ecbacked No | 72c | 1,761$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed No | 73c | 1,137$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Yes | 1c | 1,067$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 348 | 52.9%184 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 72c | 999.98$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 72c | 904.11$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.81 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 891.17$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 27c | 667.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 69c | 437.64$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.62 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 417.05$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 330.36$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 5c | 288.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 285.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 550 | 38.9%214 W · 336 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 72c | 285.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 241.4$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 230.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 73c | 230.13$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 65c | 209.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 69c | 205.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 197$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 196.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 387 | 47.8%185 W · 202 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 29c | 195.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 41c | 174.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 41c | 157.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 39c | 153$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 32c | 134.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 73c | 132.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 124.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 120.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 439 | 55.4%243 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 71c | 114.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 29c | 112.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +106%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 77c | 107.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 75c | 95.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 182 | 30.2%55 W · 127 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 242 | 46.3%112 W · 130 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…0f27backed Yes | 38c | 80.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked No | 68c | 77.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…1159backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 55c | 55.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 98 | 77.6%76 W · 22 L | +21.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 59c | 53.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 329 | 59%194 W · 135 L | +28.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 72c | 50.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 27c | 50.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +15.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…4736backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 27c | 49.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 61c | 49.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed No | 74c | 45.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 70c | 42.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b13…ade2backed Yes | 30c | 42.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 41.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 675 | 53.8%363 W · 312 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 42c | 36.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 36.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 61cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…4d34backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…2226backed Yes | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 42c | 25.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed No | 73c | 21.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 73c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.