Serie A · resolved market
Will Torino FC win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c0ef49ec4c1833b3d57129a91d2d6722f7a324a35e05e0d715f15df485e81ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 11,209$8,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.18 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 21c | 8,300$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 22c | 3,661$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.75 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 2,800$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.1 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 2,578$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.7 | 720 | 50.1%361 W · 359 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…e2a0backed No | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 2,509$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.85 | 380 | 39.7%151 W · 229 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 15c | 1,900$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 144 | 18.8%27 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 1c | 1,460$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed No | 79c | 1,367$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 1,138$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 446 | 54.7%244 W · 202 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 994.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 79c | 897.33$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.44 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 821.59$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 412 | 53.2%219 W · 193 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 819.61$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 348 | 52.9%184 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…2bafbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…4e03backed Yes | 17c | 641.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 78c | 501.83$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 332.02$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 10c | 284.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 79c | 256.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 248.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 238 | 39.1%93 W · 145 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 242.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 80c | 215.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 175.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 272 | 41.2%112 W · 160 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 138$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 675 | 53.8%363 W · 312 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 21c | 110.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 21c | 109.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 101.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 20c | 62.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 80c | 50.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 48.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 31.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 416 | 44%183 W · 233 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…bea1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…bd7fbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 439 | 55.4%243 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 79c | 12.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Torino FC win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
- Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.