Poker · resolved market
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95d972555004826b65d059eedabd2395e04ec80d278462beaf3ac07dc4fcbdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 36c | 25,000$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,099.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 66c | 24,475$16,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,136.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked No | 67c | 23,634$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 33c | 22,060$7,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,698.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 60c | 19,041$11,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,616.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed No | 41c | 18,473$7,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,573.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…11f1backed No | 66c | 15,213$10,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,010 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes | 34c | 15,179$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,966.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Yes | 41c | 11,704$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,933.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 37c | 11,149$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,001.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked Yes | 65c | 11,095$7,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…b7c8backed Yes | 57c | 8,837$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Yes | 70c | 8,550$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 61c | 8,310$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d76…00d5backed Yes | 61c | 8,114$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…7c57backed No | 66c | 7,396$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed No | 64c | 6,658$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 21c | 4,042$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7b8ebacked No | 66c | 3,939$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Yes | 61c | 3,652$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 33c | 3,555$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…8fb5backed Yes | 36c | 3,472$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…6c92backed Yes | 36c | 3,404$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…e79abacked No | 41c | 3,035$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…e7cbbacked Yes | 59c | 3,032$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 42c | 2,792$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 35c | 2,746$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Yes | 40c | 2,612$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…4b29backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc1…661fbacked No | 67c | 2,299$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 35c | 2,186$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 23c | 2,135$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…97e1backed No | 38c | 2,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 1,917$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 64c | 1,441$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 65c | 1,440$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 39c | 1,350$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 1,159$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 47c | 1,100$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…86fdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,079$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 39c | 1,037$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 49c | 911.18$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 27c | 903.39$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 63c | 800$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 30c | 732.42$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…4888backed Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 36c | 664.54$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 46c | 658$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked No | 65c | 627.77$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 40c | 619.42$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…d7b8backed No | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 40c | 600$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked No | 41c | 595$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 35c | 576.62$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 65c | 550.73$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 31c | 545$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.71 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…a09abacked No | 10c | 536.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 59c | 529.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed No | 64c | 493.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 34c | 485.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…52d9backed Yes | 61c | 471.62$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 65c | 417.6$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…87cabacked Yes | 57c | 410$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Yes | 60c | 402.99$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…7538backed No | 65c | 369.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 60c | 365.27$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 51c | 361.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 57c | 352.52$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 51c | 316$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Yes | 31c | 311.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…e128backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +127%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 5c | 282$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 47c | 274.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 33c | 273.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 270$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…c76dbacked No | 65c | 261.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 255.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…d22fbacked Yes | 55c | 254.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 242$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…e27abacked Yes | 37c | 240$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Yes | 35c | 239.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 39c | 238.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 31c | 225.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1d…c700backed Yes | 39c | 220.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 20c | 215$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6665…d1efbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?this page
- Will Evagoras Evagorou Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Jamie Shaevel Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Mario Boos Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Rami Hammoud Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.