Poker · resolved market
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4095c8e2bc98984ea1c7126a222fd24c32c47b7980527121303ffeca0e27cf58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Pokerevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Poker is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Poker | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7c2…6d37backed Yes | 41c | 24,221$9,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,934.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…614fbacked No | 75c | 22,394$16,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…e7cbbacked No | 59c | 13,228$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2927backed Yes | 45c | 8,697$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…a09abacked Yes | 13c | 6,522$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 4,288$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…cee3backed Yes | 11c | 3,512$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 2,727$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc1…661fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,240$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 1c | 2,198$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…df12backed Yes | 5c | 1,887$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…11f1backed Yes | 6c | 1,540$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 4c | 1,424$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 59c | 1,350$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 68c | 1,345$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…84b3backed Yes | 41c | 1,331$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 41c | 1,329$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 59c | 1,268$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 40c | 1,188$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked No | 60c | 1,122$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,057$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…5464backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…2746backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 59c | 1,000$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 9c | 973.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 959.73$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…e79abacked Yes | 20c | 925.15$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 74c | 910.32$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 71c | 903.39$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…97e1backed Yes | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 836.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Yes | 15c | 816.19$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Yes | 8c | 806$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…59c6backed Yes | 8c | 710$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 692$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 7c | 671.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 658$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed Yes | 6c | 613.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 59c | 599.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 60c | 584.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Yes | 6c | 535.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…5701backed Yes | 16c | 525.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed No | 59c | 441.18$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 38c | 400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 60c | 366.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes | 41c | 366.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…2934backed Yes | 5c | 359.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 59c | 356$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 59c | 356$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…b7c8backed No | 60c | 329.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…3084backed Yes | 41c | 304$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…de45backed Yes | 5c | 296.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…a65cbacked Yes | 14c | 295.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…226cbacked Yes | 41c | 293.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…f53bbacked Yes | 40c | 285.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No | 60c | 280.05$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 9c | 255.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 69c | 250.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 41c | 248.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 51c | 239$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…24afbacked Yes | 9c | 222.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 40c | 220.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…b228backed Yes | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 41c | 213.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 41c | 201.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…4a39backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…888dbacked Yes | 11c | 195.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…e128backed No | 59c | 168.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +127%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…a764backed Yes | 41c | 161.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes | 11c | 146.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…36b4backed Yes | 15c | 134.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…01f9backed Yes | 8c | 131.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Yes | 8c | 130.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 41c | 122.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 59c | 111.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 15c | 109.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…d518backed Yes | 41c | 108.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08bf…d5bcbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…5924backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Yes | 41c | 93.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…24b8backed Yes | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 65c | 56.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 34.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked No | 64c | 30.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Poker and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?this page
- Will Evagoras Evagorou Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Greg Mueller Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Han Feng Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Jamie Shaevel Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Yes won
- Will Mario Boos Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
- Will Rami Hammoud Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.