MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75925ee36022684960b17d5d8842a0d88ab1f9125f975f9590f34496fbd066d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Miami Marlins, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,431,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,761,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,431,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 502,558$312,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,460.57 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 423,232$165,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,060.42 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 100,199$78,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,043.86 | 901 | 46.3%417 W · 484 L | +25.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 53,449$31,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,448.71 | 509 | 53.8%274 W · 235 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 43,496$25,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,793.26 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,400 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 37,523$21,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,134.83 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 35,715$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000.22 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 19,027$7,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,358.51 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 17,586$7,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,210.86 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.99 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 12,616$7,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,963.37 | 837 | 42.8%358 W · 479 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 12,500$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 12,500$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 12,485$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.77 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Miami Marlins | 0c | 10,891$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 10,494$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.23 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 10,285$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.52 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 9,470$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.15 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 7,160$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.52 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 6,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.97 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 5c | 5,923$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.22 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 5,850$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.64 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 5,643$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…a83cbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 5,043$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 506 | 52.6%266 W · 240 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 363 | 43%156 W · 207 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,907$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 718 | 53.3%383 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 3,596$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.68 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,580$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.6 | 214 | 36.9%79 W · 135 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,303$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.26 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,023$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 2,957$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.4 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,872$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 2,855$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.72 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,627$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 2,528$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.15 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 2,497$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.85 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 182 | 52.2%95 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 1,998$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,811$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.33 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1a91backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,803$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 1,747$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.37 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,716$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.3 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,710$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.52 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,685$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 14c | 1,634$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 1,395$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,255$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.94 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 1,254$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,206$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.09 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,172$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.96 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 1,172$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.96 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 351 | 55.8%196 W · 155 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,067$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.67 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,024$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.56 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…b60fbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 1,006$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 1,001$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 325 | 47.7%155 W · 170 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 307 | 46.9%144 W · 163 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 938.62$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.61 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 862.03$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 818.22$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 755.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 749$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.09 | 1,894 | 49.3%934 W · 960 L | +24.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 737.6$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 725$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 458 | 53.7%246 W · 212 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 702.14$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 666$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 659$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 643.07$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fd…a401backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 625$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Miami Marlins | 14c | 596.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 570$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 562.72$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 506.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 485.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 477.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 469$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.67 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 468$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 453$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 407.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 630 | 49.2%310 W · 320 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 392$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.69 | 810 | 55.1%446 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 390.68$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.