MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb8eb4e2af66adfc538e76ce33f44fbafa62069f12afdf6be075e82adbe7297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 55c | 222,272$122,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,017.85 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.99 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b9…dd41backed Under | 45c | 59,034$26,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,859.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 58,127$31,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,090.54 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 37,352$16,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,387.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over | 54c | 18,888$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,688.48 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 10,312$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 47c | 10,287$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.74 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 10,234$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 68c | 3,869$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 45c | 3,655$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.09 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 57c | 3,516$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.88 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 54c | 3,319$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.74 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 43c | 3,103$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.31 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 46c | 2,863$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.06 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 2,421$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 2,363$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 2,263$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 69c | 1,150$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.44 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 1,128$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.86 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 45c | 970$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 797.25$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.79 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 55c | 772$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 55c | 653.9$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 54c | 617$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 66c | 615$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.9 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Over | 54c | 510.15$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 57c | 391.64$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.41 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 57c | 391.64$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.41 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 42c | 386$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Over | 57c | 380$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 57c | 380$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 68c | 379.32$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.14 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 26c | 370.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 38c | 302$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.59 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 69c | 295.43$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 55c | 283$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 44c | 250.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 41c | 235.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 43c | 229.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 43c | 229.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 58c | 229.6$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.43 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 32c | 224$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Over | 25c | 201.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 38c | 197$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 57c | 175.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Over | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 157$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 44c | 148.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 69c | 147.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 69c | 147.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 43c | 139.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 42c | 133.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 130.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Over | 57c | 127.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked Over | 43c | 109.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 50c | 98.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 47c | 97.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 43c | 93.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…391bbacked Over | 57c | 79.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 76c | 78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 48c | 73.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 58c | 70.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 61c | 69.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 63.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 52c | 62.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 44c | 60.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 54c | 57.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 46c | 53.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 56c | 52.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 43.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 60c | 38.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 35c | 37.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 45c | 37.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…8580backed Over | 45c | 36.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 56c | 35.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 50c | 30.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 54c | 25.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 55c | 25.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 55c | 24.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 47c | 23.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 66c | 23.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.