MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162179510b314f11fbfc8b4956352b7d1a4adf003105882c885922e97e8e344b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 55c | 21,397$11,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,746.68 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 45c | 15,312$6,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,390.51 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 12,768$6,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,963.02 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 45c | 9,322$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.94 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 8,627$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.25 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 5,507$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.66 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 3,320$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.81 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 62c | 2,964$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.48 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 44c | 2,366$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 2,191$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.94 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 57c | 2,129$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.36 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 1,987$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.45 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 38c | 1,956$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.21 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 1,309$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.95 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Over | 43c | 1,151$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.67 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.67 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 65c | 970.09$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.56 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 68c | 742.91$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 44c | 709$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.59 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 637.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.29 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 585$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.75 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 46c | 543$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 20c | 510.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 488.91$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.9 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 32c | 436.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.33 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 71c | 352.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 55c | 321$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 38c | 277$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.74 | 290 | 43.1%125 W · 165 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 47c | 263.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 260.86$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 55c | 227.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 188.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 44c | 182.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.13 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 170.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 166$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 44c | 136.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 122.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 63c | 121.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 55c | 120.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 119.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 35c | 113.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 102.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 68c | 97.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 333 | 52.3%174 W · 159 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 63c | 96.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 64c | 95.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 56c | 89.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 477 | 52.8%252 W · 225 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 55c | 72.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 54c | 70.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Under | 34c | 67.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Under | 34c | 67.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Under | 34c | 67.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 66.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 55c | 64.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3d…b0e6backed Under | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Under | 56c | 63.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 77c | 62.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 45c | 59.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over | 47c | 57.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…317bbacked Over | 45c | 55.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 49c | 49.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 62c | 41.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 55c | 38.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3d…4859backed Over | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 55c | 36.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 392 | 53.6%210 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 31.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 56c | 27.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 47c | 26.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…312dbacked Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 50c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Over | 51c | 22.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 55c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 57c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Under | 65c | 15.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 396 | 53%210 W · 186 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-5.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.