TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,173
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,173 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b5…7e72backed Under55c21,397$11,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,746.6812149.6%60 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over45c15,312$6,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,390.511,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c12,768$6,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,963.0211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over45c9,322$4,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,126.9479247.5%376 W · 416 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c8,627$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,762.2510,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c5,507$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.666,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c3,320$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.814,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under62c2,964$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.483,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over44c2,366$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c2,191$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.948,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under57c2,129$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.361,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over45c1,987$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.456,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over38c1,956$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.211,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over45c1,309$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.953,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1237…e11cbacked Over43c1,151$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.673834.2%13 W · 25 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over47c1,031$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.671,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9919053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under65c970.09$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.561,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over68c742.91$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8715149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over44c709$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.591,38650.6%702 W · 684 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over44c637.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.291,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Over45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33029153.6%156 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Over45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33028452.5%149 W · 135 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over45c585$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.751,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over46c543$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2218741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under20c510.85$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4370737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c488.91$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.93,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over32c436.17$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.334,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over71c352.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.38,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under55c321$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.321,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over38c277$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7429043.1%125 W · 165 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Over47c263.62$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7241048.3%198 W · 212 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under55c260.86$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.561,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under55c227.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0823548.9%115 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over45c188.19$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.828,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Over44c182.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1312752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over45c170.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6857551.7%297 W · 278 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c166$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.962,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over44c136.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.392,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under55c122.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.432,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under63c121.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.175,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Under55c120.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9314336.4%52 W · 91 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c119.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.512,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over35c113.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.191,19429%346 W · 848 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.478550.2%394 W · 391 L+2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over45c102.37$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.972,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5655146.8%258 W · 293 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Under68c97.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1433352.3%174 W · 159 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Under63c96.26$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5722949.8%114 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over64c95.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4333148.6%161 W · 170 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under56c89.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9547752.8%252 W · 225 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.240446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under55c72.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6847552%247 W · 228 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over54c70.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5782636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Under34c67.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.823250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Under34c67.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Under34c67.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.793450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under54c66.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.442,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6436650.8%186 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under55c64.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over45c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.213853.6%74 W · 64 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb3d…b0e6backed Under55c64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Under56c63.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.311127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under54c63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0227252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under77c62.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.91,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over45c59.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8359534.5%205 W · 390 L-22.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over47c57.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.424257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e88…317bbacked Over45c55.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.323167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.57953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under49c49.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.337746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.213345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under62c41.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9688656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under55c38.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0411852.5%62 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3d…4859backed Over46c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under55c36.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.291,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under54c34.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0439253.6%210 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under55c31.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.421,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under56c27.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.634355.4%190 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over47c26.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.971,04051.8%539 W · 501 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x319c…312dbacked Over46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Under50c24.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3114351%73 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0617…08d9backed Over51c22.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.054628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5550…4e4fbacked Under68c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.966459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Under55c20.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2614546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117761%47 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under57c19.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.319955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Under65c15.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1439653%210 W · 186 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.