TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Facundo Menaof Facundo Mena, Kai Wehnelt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,788,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,320,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,788,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed Facundo Mena61c478,045$292,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,681.164955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c7…9ccfbacked Facundo Mena77c182,655$140,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,654.85450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kai Wehnelt27c34,129$9,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,275.1711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Kai Wehnelt34c29,244$10,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,085.952035%7 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Kai Wehnelt38c27,326$10,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,384.9275640.1%303 W · 453 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Kai Wehnelt22c25,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50063440.9%259 W · 375 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Kai Wehnelt37c18,960$6,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,976.731,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Facundo Mena62c15,157$9,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,768.2763556.7%360 W · 275 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Kai Wehnelt24c15,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60018148.1%87 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kai Wehnelt37c13,402$4,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.469,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…608ebacked Facundo Mena61c10,279$6,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,024.973246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Facundo Mena79c8,537$6,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.4565959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ccc…77abbacked Facundo Mena76c8,430$6,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.9726554.7%145 W · 120 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Kai Wehnelt31c7,977$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.33,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kai Wehnelt23c6,608$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.874,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Facundo Mena64c6,304$4,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Kai Wehnelt36c5,579$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,033.044,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Kai Wehnelt19c5,241$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.744,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Kai Wehnelt30c5,112$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.846,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Facundo Mena64c3,945$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.693354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kai Wehnelt31c3,701$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.718,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d7…488cbacked Kai Wehnelt10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+57.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked Kai Wehnelt10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002445.8%11 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.30per pick16cpaid+197.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa937…a334backed Kai Wehnelt10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Facundo Mena75c2,925$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.781,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kai Wehnelt40c2,883$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.535,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Facundo Mena75c2,290$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.971,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Kai Wehnelt14c2,100$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29418537.3%69 W · 116 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Kai Wehnelt2c2,017$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3299148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Kai Wehnelt38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd5…a179backed Facundo Mena62c1,723$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.765100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Kai Wehnelt39c1,695$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.6946650.2%234 W · 232 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Kai Wehnelt38c1,627$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62131056.1%174 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77aa…9bd5backed Kai Wehnelt33c1,616$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b96…cea8backed Kai Wehnelt32c1,582$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006731.3%21 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Kai Wehnelt25c1,560$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.071241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…5749backed Kai Wehnelt21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Kai Wehnelt39c1,415$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.6422341.3%92 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3622…3facbacked Facundo Mena72c1,368$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.038769%60 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Kai Wehnelt36c1,344$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.212,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Facundo Mena63c1,330$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49795237.7%359 W · 593 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Kai Wehnelt16c1,287$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.959721.8%130 W · 467 L+2.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Kai Wehnelt23c1,221$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7474654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Facundo Mena80c1,209$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.433,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2525…3dddbacked Kai Wehnelt32c1,130$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Kai Wehnelt37c1,100$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.527952.3%146 W · 133 L-19.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Kai Wehnelt27c1,100$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2837345%168 W · 205 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Kai Wehnelt27c1,051$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.151,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Facundo Mena64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Facundo Mena74c933.41$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.711,76645.9%810 W · 956 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Kai Wehnelt40c802.12$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8588157.9%510 W · 371 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Facundo Mena65c766.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0525558%148 W · 107 L+20.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e0d…a898backed Kai Wehnelt36c761.71$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.222857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Facundo Mena62c729.15$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.981,07136.8%394 W · 677 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28fd…bee1backed Kai Wehnelt40c710.47$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kai Wehnelt39c692.41$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.491,00857.7%582 W · 426 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Kai Wehnelt31c671.62$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.675,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Facundo Mena60c668.98$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.598124.7%20 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Kai Wehnelt37c645.68$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.918443.5%80 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac68…f1fcbacked Facundo Mena64c524.23$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc8…c4f4backed Kai Wehnelt35c522.59$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.321050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Kai Wehnelt40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056244.1%248 W · 314 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Kai Wehnelt16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8049250.6%249 W · 243 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Kai Wehnelt45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Kai Wehnelt15c499.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.992733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Kai Wehnelt17c487.79$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4457841%237 W · 341 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Facundo Mena63c460.32$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.322665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Facundo Mena74c454.31$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.772,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kai Wehnelt30c330.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.626,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Facundo Mena62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5811348.7%55 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Facundo Mena63c304.22$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5629237.7%110 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Kai Wehnelt29c300.91$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2653946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Kai Wehnelt37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110252%53 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Facundo Mena80c298.08$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6494751.1%484 W · 463 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…8d4cbacked Facundo Mena77c292.04$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.871070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f7…b16dbacked Facundo Mena60c283.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3328754.7%157 W · 130 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Kai Wehnelt35c274.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.734535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kai Wehnelt40c255.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.537,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3452…1ba0backed Facundo Mena60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Kai Wehnelt25c226$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.265,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Kai Wehnelt27c218.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5929048.3%140 W · 150 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Kai Wehnelt23c201.09$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2555357.3%317 W · 236 L+34.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Kai Wehnelt38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7646439.7%184 W · 280 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Facundo Mena59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d5…e65abacked Facundo Mena66c194.35$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.699750.5%49 W · 48 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kai Wehnelt28c190.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.212,83947.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Kai Wehnelt41c181.73$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3731242.3%132 W · 180 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Facundo Mena59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4948258.1%280 W · 202 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Facundo Mena61c168$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.926230.6%19 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Kai Wehnelt27c167$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.461,87853.2%1,000 W · 878 L+30.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Facundo Mena63c159.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9949256.3%277 W · 215 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Facundo Mena63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x568e…40bcbacked Facundo Mena76c158.68$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.083461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab1…bb62backed Kai Wehnelt44c157.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Kai Wehnelt25c157$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.254,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4454…f6bfbacked Facundo Mena76c155.87$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Kai Wehnelt41c154.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.241,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Facundo Mena65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8517355.5%96 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Kai Wehnelt32c151$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3226957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kai Wehnelt27c149.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.876,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.