Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa273f7c9d62be8001598e7cb675a7a60b1681b1d226af4e9fe2d6fd8f02434a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $748,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $814,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $748,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed 1win | 51c | 328,274$165,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,880.92 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Liquid | 53c | 253,066$133,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,141.53 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 45c | 117,664$53,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Team Liquid | 44c | 46,268$20,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,910.2 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 36c | 36,700$13,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,531.06 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 1win | 40c | 34,062$13,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,651.33 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Liquid | 69c | 27,926$19,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,657.05 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Liquid | 66c | 26,448$17,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,992.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed Team Liquid | 43c | 20,399$8,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,544.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 17,928$11,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,154.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Liquid | 39c | 16,017$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,779.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed 1win | 62c | 15,905$9,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,816.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 13,606$8,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.06 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Liquid | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…47febacked Team Liquid | 44c | 11,257$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Liquid | 40c | 10,868$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,521.09 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 52c | 10,688$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.13 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 9,899$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.37 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 38c | 9,583$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.27 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 32c | 8,806$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.51 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Liquid | 65c | 8,658$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 40c | 8,116$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.11 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 37c | 8,075$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Team Liquid | 53c | 7,429$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.4 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Liquid | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.08 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 6,320$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed 1win | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Team Liquid | 71c | 5,555$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.84 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked 1win | 64c | 5,092$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.78 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked 1win | 34c | 4,174$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.26 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed 1win | 62c | 4,117$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.13 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 35c | 4,000$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.02 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 3,808$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Team Liquid | 64c | 3,100$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 2,907$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.04 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc72…c9d0backed Team Liquid | 40c | 2,753$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 2,685$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.15 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked 1win | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed 1win | 63c | 2,399$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Team Liquid | 39c | 2,236$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 1win | 33c | 2,182$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.47 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked 1win | 33c | 2,144$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.67 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,000$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked 1win | 25c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 34c | 1,992$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.97 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 1win | 32c | 1,809$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.21 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed 1win | 56c | 1,807$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.14 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 37c | 1,561$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.79 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,551$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.53 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 1,421$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 60c | 1,399$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.4 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked 1win | 29c | 1,217$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.81 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,192$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,177$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.13 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,140$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked 1win | 34c | 1,093$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed 1win | 23c | 1,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked 1win | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed 1win | 48c | 888.82$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team Liquid | 64c | 823.2$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.77 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked 1win | 56c | 802.22$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Team Liquid | 67c | 693.84$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Team Liquid | 63c | 676.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.35 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 663.49$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.76 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 71c | 636.08$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked 1win | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 20c | 581.34$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed 1win | 44c | 572.1$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…3330backed 1win | 56c | 555.36$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked 1win | 40c | 551.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…7537backed Team Liquid | 64c | 536.92$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked 1win | 11c | 532.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 65c | 522.72$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked 1win | 24c | 511.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Liquid | 63c | 501.25$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Team Liquid | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked 1win | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 18c | 451.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Liquid | 64c | 450$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Team Liquid | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked 1win | 36c | 447.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.29 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Team Liquid | 66c | 443$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.62 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 70c | 423.87$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed 1win | 49c | 410.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed 1win | 52c | 394.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.79 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…d01abacked Team Liquid | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed 1win | 45c | 380.47$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed Team Liquid | 68c | 376.38$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.37 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked 1win | 60c | 366.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…8a82backed 1win | 31c | 352.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Liquid | 67c | 348.35$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 1win | 27c | 346.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed 1win | 36c | 338.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.