Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ebe973b516c3207ee204b31d2992765b504b01fba85025f8eec448efbe33bd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $759,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $923,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $759,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 58c | 128,463$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 1win | 61c | 51,075$31,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,197.99 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Liquid | 40c | 42,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.93 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 59c | 31,674$18,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,065.7 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked 1win | 58c | 31,568$18,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,394.32 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed 1win | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.97 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid | 45c | 25,189$11,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,869.98 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 40c | 24,230$9,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,453.4 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Liquid | 43c | 19,130$8,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,904.09 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…46d2backed 1win | 60c | 16,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked 1win | 30c | 14,644$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 66c | 14,639$9,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,634.87 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 10,920$4,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,224.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Team Liquid | 49c | 10,760$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.79 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 10,212$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.49 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win | 63c | 9,800$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.99 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 9,700$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.96 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 40c | 9,320$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,615.06 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Liquid | 40c | 8,750$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 39c | 8,384$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,135.13 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed 1win | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.98 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed Team Liquid | 43c | 7,891$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 7,700$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.58 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…6031backed Team Liquid | 46c | 7,241$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.21 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 7,035$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.45 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 6,971$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.14 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 28c | 6,394$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.23 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win | 47c | 6,065$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 5,603$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.75 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 42c | 5,594$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.48 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked 1win | 57c | 5,380$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.02 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 5,112$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.95 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Liquid | 37c | 4,725$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.34 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed 1win | 56c | 4,698$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.89 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 4,538$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.35 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Liquid | 77c | 4,190$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.87 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win | 58c | 4,134$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,391.79 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 3,982$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.72 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 39c | 3,785$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.87 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,767$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 3,681$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.07 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 3,661$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.44 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed 1win | 62c | 3,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid | 54c | 3,442$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.31 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed 1win | 63c | 3,436$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.39 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed 1win | 0c | 3,419$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,416$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.2 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Liquid | 44c | 3,400$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 3,100$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.94 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Team Liquid | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid | 79c | 3,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid | 68c | 2,831$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.03 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,814$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.82 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 1win | 61c | 2,809$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.15 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 6c | 2,530$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 2,503$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.56 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1win | 17c | 2,494$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.58 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 1win | 55c | 2,477$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.94 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 2,460$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.47 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,424$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.16 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,002$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.81 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,954$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.19 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…a3c2backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,831$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed 1win | 58c | 1,688$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.79 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,660$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.79 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,634$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.29 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 1,595$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.52 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 1win | 34c | 1,534$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.69 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 1,475$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.73 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 1win | 64c | 1,395$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.76 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,360$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.4 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed 1win | 18c | 1,354$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,350$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.49 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,263$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.8 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 1,260$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.33 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed 1win | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d59…8b19backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,247$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.66 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed 1win | 59c | 1,246$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.53 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,238$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.57 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,230$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,221$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.4 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,200$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.78 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,185$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.39 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed 1win | 21c | 1,167$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,125$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.59 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,122$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.27 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,119$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed 1win | 32c | 1,100$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed 1win | 49c | 1,100$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,073$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.05 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked 1win | 2c | 1,045$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.33 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.