TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, 1win
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,383,489
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,675,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,383,489 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed 1win58c138,879$80,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed 1win58c118,453$68,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,585.8412259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Team Liquid42c65,634$27,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,920.785236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 1win66c49,066$32,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,484.5271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Team Liquid42c46,434$19,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,741.716043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed 1win46c45,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,499.9747146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid42c43,551$18,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,135.2916147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Liquid43c38,252$16,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,631.162766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Team Liquid43c35,620$15,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,481.361764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Team Liquid42c33,160$13,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,232.783647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid49c32,862$15,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,880.0521155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid42c26,884$11,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,606.0112348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fff…265cbacked 1win74c26,647$19,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,790.553234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid65c19,763$12,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,910.1330667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed Team Liquid43c17,000$7,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6902955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked 1win43c16,199$6,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,930.2450850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed 1win62c15,973$9,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,902.9948954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Liquid39c14,996$5,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,147.3410540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d9…a1b2backed Team Liquid51c14,521$7,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,086.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid28c12,664$3,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,178.4989341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid55c11,787$6,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.9877258.5%452 W · 320 L+74.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win57c11,628$6,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6081,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid41c11,472$4,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,725.7316553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed 1win60c10,912$6,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,578.441056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid37c10,369$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,517.641,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Team Liquid30c10,309$3,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,180.3128044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60026540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 1win45c9,852$4,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.4525446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked 1win56c9,500$5,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,289.8980056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid64c9,484$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.5128251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed 1win61c8,867$5,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,382.9318551.4%95 W · 90 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Liquid34c8,446$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.4290753.7%487 W · 420 L+50.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Liquid43c7,240$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.23164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+58.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid54c6,948$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.8391756.5%518 W · 399 L+79.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Liquid52c6,723$3,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.779339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Team Liquid47c6,434$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,408.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Liquid41c6,199$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,669.4622031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid41c6,000$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,554.0911953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed 1win55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9729952.2%156 W · 143 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 1win57c5,733$3,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.5716641%68 W · 98 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid39c5,653$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.7950347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6729…f17dbacked Team Liquid44c5,550$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1081464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Team Liquid37c5,470$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,470.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Team Liquid79c5,120$4,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid45c4,988$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.9231936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed 1win54c4,952$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.1218351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed 1win57c4,379$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.7969644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.8314258.5%83 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid32c4,288$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.991,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c8…a3c2backed Team Liquid42c4,217$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 1win60c4,200$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52016746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Team Liquid36c4,189$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.7812141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 1win61c4,133$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.3255751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid30c4,088$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.661,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed 1win56c4,045$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.448143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Liquid59c4,016$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.5730356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed 1win26c4,000$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.854542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed 1win55c3,999$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.5296357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73f4…158ebacked Team Liquid53c3,799$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.4423561.7%145 W · 90 L+19.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid62c3,759$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.839343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Liquid41c3,740$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.5112159.5%72 W · 49 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed Team Liquid44c3,647$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.112646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed 1win52c3,469$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80024154.8%132 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed 1win59c3,318$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.118757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26c6…b937backed Team Liquid33c3,275$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.152560%15 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+66.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed 1win40c3,255$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.1129546.1%136 W · 159 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid43c3,228$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.7719148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Liquid40c3,200$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9310075%75 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win56c3,053$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.571,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win68c3,034$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.6289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid59c3,019$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.2322853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9956542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Liquid44c2,979$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.7113960.4%84 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed 1win51c2,882$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.8318560.5%112 W · 73 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9c…e006backed 1win58c2,800$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,63622663.3%143 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid40c2,729$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.381,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed 1win64c2,712$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.4536343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked 1win69c2,594$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.7217965.4%117 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed 1win57c2,555$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.3156955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid39c2,513$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.6792846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a8…6107backed Team Liquid40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007439.2%29 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid43c2,439$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.120642.7%88 W · 118 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebe…5e6fbacked 1win60c2,423$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.4325752.1%134 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Team Liquid41c2,400$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.9814943.6%65 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed 1win63c2,400$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 1win70c2,340$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.9568649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid39c2,300$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40453652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0565…d01abacked Team Liquid44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid33c2,235$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.161,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe34f…6b2bbacked 1win65c2,187$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.16862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47c…39b5backed Team Liquid46c2,174$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.183560%21 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid41c2,169$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.4245352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Liquid43c2,047$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.519556.8%54 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed Team Liquid57c2,026$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.098648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed 1win60c2,016$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20049952.9%264 W · 235 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cf…d3f0backed Team Liquid42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16017449.4%86 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb4…87b5backed Team Liquid39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 1win56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9929348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83b…2d16backed Team Liquid55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.