TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b9…889f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
138
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT9145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+68%+$576.99
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$631.21
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winnerbacked DYNASTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$97.34
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Abacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$1,279.42
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked FTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.6
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$373
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Bbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.39
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked Klim Sani4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$174.39
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.13
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$528.26
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$689.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,475.74
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$183.27
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.8
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$431.79
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$323.98
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,078.1
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$640.93
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+34%+$812.59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+46%+$404.42
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 9INE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 7backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$65.87
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.3
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ODDIK (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+239.5%+$273.63
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Grêmio Esports (+1.5)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$73.2
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$68.78
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$332
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.11
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$470.71
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$574
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$640.02
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$263
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$747
Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazuabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+173.5%+$780.72
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.5
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenierbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs Grenierbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.57
Winston-Salem Open: Sebastian Gorzny vs Cruz Hewittbacked Cruz Hewitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$264
Set 2 Winner: Stefanini vs Osoriobacked Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$463
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Mariam Bolkvadzebacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$223.37
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.56
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,391Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$10,001.97
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$128.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.