Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc771c3a9ed8b1008be5281116bf65b94795aa540cdd2bb456e5cf7afbaf2c36f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof summer bear, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Spirit Academy | 37c | 9,736$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.07 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 7,631$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.33 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked summer bear | 74c | 5,395$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.99 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed summer bear | 63c | 5,347$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.54 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed summer bear | 41c | 4,181$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed summer bear | 3c | 3,306$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 2,981$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.63 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 1,987$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.2 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 1,979$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.75 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed summer bear | 62c | 1,938$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…50e7backed summer bear | 8c | 1,753$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed summer bear | 33c | 1,610$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.97 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 1,515$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.17 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 1,426$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked summer bear | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked summer bear | 32c | 1,207$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.17 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed Spirit Academy | 11c | 1,149$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed summer bear | 43c | 1,081$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.29 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Spirit Academy | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 985.67$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.03 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked summer bear | 40c | 767$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed summer bear | 52c | 761.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit Academy | 28c | 758.18$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.53 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked summer bear | 44c | 757.05$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked summer bear | 51c | 716.51$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.99 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked summer bear | 59c | 675.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed summer bear | 21c | 639.58$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed summer bear | 53c | 614.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy | 68c | 592.04$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…40aebacked summer bear | 29c | 574.52$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked summer bear | 53c | 570.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked summer bear | 38c | 545.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed summer bear | 41c | 496.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed summer bear | 52c | 490.44$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.23 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked summer bear | 37c | 435.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked summer bear | 23c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed summer bear | 40c | 380$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked summer bear | 43c | 361.01$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked summer bear | 43c | 351.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 348.28$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…2a71backed summer bear | 73c | 331.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cc…00b6backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 307$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed summer bear | 53c | 282.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked summer bear | 38c | 269$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 257.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed summer bear | 44c | 252.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked summer bear | 64c | 250.92$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed summer bear | 67c | 250.74$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed summer bear | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed summer bear | 40c | 249.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked summer bear | 43c | 242.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed summer bear | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed summer bear | 45c | 212$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 202.18$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.01 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed summer bear | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed summer bear | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed summer bear | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed summer bear | 21c | 189.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked summer bear | 60c | 179.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Spirit Academy | 9c | 170.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed summer bear | 61c | 164.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed summer bear | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed summer bear | 37c | 135.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed summer bear | 44c | 130.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Spirit Academy | 25c | 122$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 121.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed summer bear | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…e825backed summer bear | 60c | 116.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spirit Academy | 43c | 114.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked summer bear | 21c | 112.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked summer bear | 53c | 111.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked summer bear | 51c | 106.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked summer bear | 62c | 105.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5cc0backed Spirit Academy | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked summer bear | 43c | 92.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 91.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 87.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked summer bear | 52c | 81.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Spirit Academy | 72c | 80.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed summer bear | 38c | 79.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked summer bear | 54c | 75.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed summer bear | 50c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 67.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked summer bear | 51c | 65.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked summer bear | 46c | 64.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…9b9dbacked summer bear | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…362cbacked summer bear | 53c | 61.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked summer bear | 38c | 54.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked summer bear | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 50.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed summer bear | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked summer bear | 40c | 49.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed summer bear | 40c | 44.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked summer bear | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked summer bear | 37c | 41.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 40.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…7337backed Spirit Academy | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…75c2backed summer bear | 70c | 38.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.