Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd64bcece3a322f196ea67374fee44786052c94dd4fdd1628ef94fe1f741719ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof summer bear, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed summer bear | 43c | 39,729$17,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,074.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Spirit Academy | 54c | 7,098$3,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.74 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Spirit Academy | 80c | 6,898$5,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.24 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed summer bear | 45c | 4,839$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.43 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 4,802$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.77 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked summer bear | 43c | 3,747$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.9 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked summer bear | 42c | 3,095$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.04 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 2,283$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.68 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 1,939$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.15 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed summer bear | 3c | 1,802$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Spirit Academy | 59c | 1,538$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.21 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed summer bear | 42c | 1,321$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.04 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked summer bear | 49c | 1,273$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.03 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed summer bear | 38c | 1,107$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.01 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked summer bear | 40c | 1,037$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.88 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 936.07$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.83 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked summer bear | 21c | 915.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked summer bear | 26c | 907.27$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.83 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Spirit Academy | 80c | 878.22$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…086fbacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 822.36$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Spirit Academy | 63c | 819.49$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.95 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed summer bear | 38c | 777.89$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed summer bear | 39c | 759.27$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.95 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked summer bear | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed summer bear | 43c | 679.58$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 673.71$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed summer bear | 51c | 588.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed summer bear | 41c | 571.5$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.31 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…0620backed summer bear | 48c | 559.44$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked summer bear | 21c | 556.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Spirit Academy | 67c | 555$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed summer bear | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked summer bear | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5cc0backed summer bear | 44c | 500$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked summer bear | 43c | 451.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked summer bear | 37c | 362.22$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed summer bear | 43c | 353.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 351$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 351$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 344$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.16 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 340.13$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked summer bear | 31c | 330.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed Spirit Academy | 63c | 326.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed summer bear | 35c | 324.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed summer bear | 23c | 320.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Spirit Academy | 55c | 287.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked summer bear | 43c | 281.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked summer bear | 33c | 257.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 252$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked summer bear | 35c | 250.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed summer bear | 36c | 240$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked summer bear | 43c | 238.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked summer bear | 38c | 230.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked summer bear | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed summer bear | 20c | 189.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed summer bear | 42c | 185.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed summer bear | 44c | 177$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 171.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed summer bear | 47c | 161.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed summer bear | 31c | 158.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked summer bear | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed summer bear | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed summer bear | 30c | 140.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked summer bear | 44c | 122.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked summer bear | 35c | 121.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked summer bear | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked summer bear | 47c | 109.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Spirit Academy | 55c | 99.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed summer bear | 41c | 96.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 96.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed summer bear | 58c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…4d40backed summer bear | 43c | 81.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Spirit Academy | 66c | 80.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed summer bear | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed summer bear | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed summer bear | 35c | 72.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed summer bear | 36c | 66.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 106 | 62.3%66 W · 40 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 64.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6552…baa4backed Spirit Academy | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked summer bear | 22c | 63.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Spirit Academy | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedb…1d74backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 55.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed summer bear | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked summer bear | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…24d9backed summer bear | 37c | 48.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 48.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 46.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed summer bear | 38c | 46.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked summer bear | 40c | 41.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked summer bear | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed summer bear | 37c | 38.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…75c2backed Spirit Academy | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Spirit Academy | 52c | 31.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…7337backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 30.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.