TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No17c7,552$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.352,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes58c5,222$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.5212646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No19c4,347$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.41,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No42c3,702$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.532536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No39c3,299$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.0575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes53c3,203$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.8420036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed Yes68c3,161$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.671650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No30c2,966$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.5557540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes67c2,548$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.732937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No20c2,501$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.11,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes68c2,212$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.847741.6%32 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No42c1,969$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.523458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes67c1,812$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.781,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked No14c1,749$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.83447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes78c1,748$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.496232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No46c1,597$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.586735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes56c1,569$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.688863.6%56 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No20c1,467$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.182,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes76c1,293$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked No39c1,290$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.473129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+287.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No17c1,222$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.816641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No19c1,117$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.221,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes64c1,096$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.091464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No40c1,095$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.8951945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed No27c1,078$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.325248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No46c1,042$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8810828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes73c1,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes61c1,020$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.143,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes67c1,013$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.1512440.3%50 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No22c999.94$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9910426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No4c947.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.924626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No32c881.72$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.441,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No40c827.77$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes64c803.91$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.1117251.2%88 W · 84 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes69c790.65$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.494852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2911565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No3c651$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.229710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes63c635$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.954770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No7c624.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.951,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No17c588.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9729138.1%111 W · 180 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No34c585.27$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8318338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes62c564.51$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.513441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No3c480$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.082910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes54c478.21$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8210649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Yes59c467.8$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No33c467.34$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2229047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No21c449.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3141654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No38c418.52$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Yes69c413.04$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No35c407.19$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes79c381.45$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.498,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No42c357.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Yes65c354.12$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.71752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes73c339.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9240442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…e2eabacked No6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes79c333.09$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Yes63c315.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes72c313.57$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.577973.4%58 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No28c309$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.381,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No18c278.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8615768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x85ac…fce6backed No22c236.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Yes66c179.12$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.483327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No30c177.06$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.741,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No35c177.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4121938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No28c172.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9914254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No22c158.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.982,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes57c153.06$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.282661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4624535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes78c148.98$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7845253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d2c…00b5backed No20c141.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.641145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No37c140.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.330847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Yes60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed Yes80c123.89$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.842352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No14c122.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0312948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes68c120.7$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.013545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No34c120.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5219953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes78c114.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed7…50f6backed Yes76c113.81$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.59955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No19c111.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.462433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes78c103.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8778856.3%444 W · 344 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No31c101.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3829752.9%157 W · 140 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.458452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…e58cbacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Yes69c94.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked No32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3689…09aabacked Yes68c87.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes78c87.1$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1613167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Yes69c86.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.954934.7%17 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No24c85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.818359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No31c81.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1829245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No32c80.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.151,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc813…e42bbacked Yes80c75.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-68.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No30c74.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9442562.4%265 W · 160 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fcd…a901backed Yes67c74.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.