South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf19bb67ddd2381302299a564b21fd3efed000e4ca7617ff7de0b95720a2b12bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 4,566$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.28 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 12c | 3,105$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.01 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 2,321$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.39 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…7a68backed Yes | 23c | 1,597$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 973.29$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.31 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 13c | 961$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 13c | 961$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 908.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 15c | 818.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 22c | 795.82$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 15c | 777.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 13c | 747.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 22c | 636.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 18c | 412$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 15c | 316.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 77c | 299$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes | 20c | 298.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 26c | 201.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 13c | 158.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 13c | 150.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…1b8fbacked Yes | 22c | 135.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 21c | 116.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 25c | 101.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 12c | 97.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 19c | 71.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11?Yes won
- Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.