South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bd39feed1d327d6f27028c8c590f0b9baed9cc2ecd4164c01da58f572a5a398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 6c | 37,526$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.13 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 6c | 33,000$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.71 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…7ec7backed Yes | 6c | 13,272$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 6c | 12,039$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.86 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 6c | 3,232$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,580$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.09 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 7c | 1,984$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 1,848$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 6c | 1,414$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 5c | 1,295$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Yes | 6c | 997.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Yes | 6c | 777.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 10c | 716.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 6c | 705.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Yes | 13c | 665.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 13c | 645.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 6c | 591$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 8c | 574$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 5c | 523.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 8c | 460.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 12c | 403.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 6c | 400.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 26c | 384.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 216 | 38.4%83 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 6c | 353.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 5c | 348.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 8c | 308.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes | 17c | 274.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 10c | 267.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 7c | 158.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Yes | 17c | 131.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 76c | 110.21$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 18c | 106.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes | 17c | 90.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 14c | 78.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…0a3dbacked Yes | 19c | 51.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.