CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadaef0ffaba5ac250d8b043b6f4caaca87fa49dcdd67886ad4b4a038e816a5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked MIBR | 71c | 18,000$12,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,131.52 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 34c | 4,124$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BESTIA | 26c | 3,000$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.24 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked BESTIA | 25c | 2,904$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.11 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked BESTIA | 30c | 2,100$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BESTIA | 22c | 1,467$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.66 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR | 76c | 1,384$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked BESTIA | 26c | 1,201$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.57 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked BESTIA | 16c | 1,031$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 30c | 644.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 78c | 604.48$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed BESTIA | 23c | 509.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed MIBR | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed BESTIA | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked BESTIA | 40c | 390$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BESTIA | 30c | 343.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed MIBR | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked BESTIA | 23c | 202.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c1…1527backed BESTIA | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 24c | 157.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed BESTIA | 23c | 128.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed MIBR | 72c | 110.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed BESTIA | 10c | 108.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed MIBR | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed MIBR | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MIBR | 77c | 89.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MIBR | 78c | 73.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed BESTIA | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed BESTIA | 40c | 57.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked MIBR | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed MIBR | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed MIBR | 80c | 45.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed BESTIA | 26c | 41.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed BESTIA | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed MIBR | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MIBR | 66c | 37.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed MIBR | 69c | 33.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MIBR | 74c | 29.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR | 76c | 26.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed MIBR | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked MIBR | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.