CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x504f164883c5f99d0e4b6b9a945a744e79f7098d5dd8c3fc0e19821563a3435a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked MIBR | 43c | 8,492$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.05 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 52c | 3,605$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.06 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked BESTIA | 48c | 2,411$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.37 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed BESTIA | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked BESTIA | 53c | 1,496$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.77 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed MIBR | 37c | 1,341$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.49 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MIBR | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BESTIA | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 44c | 969.89$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MIBR | 42c | 420.81$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked BESTIA | 43c | 416.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed MIBR | 57c | 350.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR | 45c | 342.23$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR | 37c | 284.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed BESTIA | 65c | 269.59$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.97 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed BESTIA | 55c | 255.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked MIBR | 79c | 252.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked MIBR | 75c | 250.01$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR | 52c | 182.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed BESTIA | 65c | 150.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed MIBR | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked BESTIA | 50c | 77.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed BESTIA | 70c | 69.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked BESTIA | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MIBR | 43c | 43.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed MIBR | 59c | 38.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed BESTIA | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…f579backed MIBR | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed MIBR | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked MIBR | 42c | 26.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed BESTIA | 68c | 23.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed BESTIA | 74c | 19.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.