CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e2c494538defccba1159a1f250f3fd96f16711892ede7fc712bac55846a1215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed MIBR | 70c | 818.07$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BESTIA | 33c | 387.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed BESTIA | 13c | 330$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed BESTIA | 4c | 307$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed BESTIA | 29c | 296.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked BESTIA | 18c | 249.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed MIBR | 72c | 185.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked MIBR | 60c | 183.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MIBR | 62c | 181.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed BESTIA | 13c | 166.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 35c | 154.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed BESTIA | 45c | 118.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed MIBR | 70c | 111.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 22c | 106.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed MIBR | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed BESTIA | 40c | 74.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked MIBR | 62c | 73.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked MIBR | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed MIBR | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BESTIA | 48c | 56.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed BESTIA | 37c | 46.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR | 76c | 31.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae89…9bcebacked MIBR | 68c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 76c | 20.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.