Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d3e76fa15fb5d118576477043b291ffb1b2e509470c65eb15d872267bb7983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 672.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Inner Circle | 65c | 489.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 67cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Inner Circle | 61c | 489.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 11c | 365.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Inner Circle | 58c | 349.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 329.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 287.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 285.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 6c | 227.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle | 57c | 224.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle | 62c | 215.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed Inner Circle | 65c | 212.86$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 190.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 179$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…e478backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 167.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Inner Circle | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle | 73c | 149.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 131.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0c9fbacked Inner Circle | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Inner Circle | 80c | 118$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 109.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 105.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 93.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 87.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Inner Circle | 76c | 86.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 84.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Inner Circle | 58c | 79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Inner Circle | 51c | 78.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 66.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed Inner Circle | 58c | 63.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Inner Circle | 68c | 60.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 54.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 56c | 51.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Inner Circle | 58c | 48.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Inner Circle | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Inner Circle | 76c | 39.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Inner Circle | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 33.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…754fbacked Inner Circle | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Inner Circle | 58c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Inner Circle | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…86d8backed Inner Circle | 58c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Inner Circle | 77c | 13.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.