Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11fcfa1817e4f1e8020455a926095d8e4dd555a8e77f148640fa424a9ef8cd4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle | 42c | 5,670$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.84 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 5,365$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.82 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 5,062$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.07 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Inner Circle | 65c | 2,658$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.81 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…ae1ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 2,107$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 1,770$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.62 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 1,683$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.97 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 1,350$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 1,047$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.67 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Inner Circle | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 982.24$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.23 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Inner Circle | 54c | 917.68$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.9 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Inner Circle | 55c | 913.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.04 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Inner Circle | 51c | 898.74$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.49 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 825.68$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.16 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Inner Circle | 55c | 815.99$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 808.01$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.38 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 787$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed Inner Circle | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Inner Circle | 67c | 565.43$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Inner Circle | 55c | 556.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 556.19$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 553.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.75 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 549.55$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 503.84$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 492.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 482.25$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Inner Circle | 47c | 425.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.85 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 416.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.73 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 385.18$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 372.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Inner Circle | 78c | 349.88$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Inner Circle | 46c | 317.32$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 317.07$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.29 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 304.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 300.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Inner Circle | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cf…9ab4backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 276.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 269.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Nemiga Gaming | 4c | 267.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 261.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…d7febacked Inner Circle | 78c | 257.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…fae7backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 248.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Inner Circle | 80c | 248.83$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 243.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 222.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 39%87 W · 136 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 217.39$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 212$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 205.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Inner Circle | 49c | 204.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 391 | 51.2%200 W · 191 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 190.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 186.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Inner Circle | 47c | 186.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 181$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98fcbacked Inner Circle | 61c | 176.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 174.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed Inner Circle | 45c | 169$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Inner Circle | 61c | 149.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Inner Circle | 62c | 146.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 138.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Inner Circle | 53c | 129.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 128.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…fd5bbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 126.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked Inner Circle | 54c | 123.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…5064backed Inner Circle | 47c | 119.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 110.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 109.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked Inner Circle | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Inner Circle | 68c | 101.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Inner Circle | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Inner Circle | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Inner Circle | 62c | 96.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 233 | 61.8%144 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Inner Circle | 48c | 93.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 91.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 87.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 86.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…bf27backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 82.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…34fabacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 79.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Inner Circle | 54c | 74.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…17bdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 68.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Inner Circle | 52c | 67.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…006abacked Inner Circle | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle | 75c | 64.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 62.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Inner Circle | 49c | 60.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Inner Circle | 48c | 60.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f1…aa6dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 59.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…0856backed Inner Circle | 50c | 55.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 54.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 53.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group AInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.