Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e9c3a7b2aba99892c3590aeaee562b997649eb7f3b44e783ba44357b03f4d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 10,485$4,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.94 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 3,613$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.97 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 3,600$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 2,268$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 1,993$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.25 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 1,844$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.76 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Inner Circle | 58c | 1,669$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed Inner Circle | 55c | 1,278$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.8 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Inner Circle | 64c | 1,129$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.17 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 983.73$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.22 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 885.32$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.39 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Inner Circle | 65c | 744.64$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.92 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked Inner Circle | 59c | 712.32$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 640$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 636.61$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.31 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Inner Circle | 54c | 616.81$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.81 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 528.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.85 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed Inner Circle | 50c | 501.11$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 485.04$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 458.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 411.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Inner Circle | 50c | 399.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 364 | 52.5%191 W · 173 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…0620backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 367.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 349.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 334.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 298.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 285.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 278.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 275.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cf…9ab4backed Inner Circle | 59c | 237.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 207.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 198$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 192.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd1…5064backed Inner Circle | 48c | 189.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Inner Circle | 50c | 189.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 187.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked Inner Circle | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 165.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 164.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Inner Circle | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 134.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed Inner Circle | 51c | 118.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 116.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Inner Circle | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 233 | 61.8%144 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe540…3e0abacked Inner Circle | 75c | 111.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 108.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Inner Circle | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Inner Circle | 54c | 96.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 93.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Inner Circle | 63c | 83.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Inner Circle | 53c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 66.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Inner Circle | 80c | 62.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed Nemiga Gaming | 60c | 58.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 58.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Inner Circle | 56c | 45.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Inner Circle | 63c | 40.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Inner Circle | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 36.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Inner Circle | 53c | 33.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 33.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 32.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 32.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…1e0abacked Inner Circle | 50c | 31.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed Inner Circle | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Inner Circle | 52c | 26.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…2af1backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 25.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Inner Circle | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb128…a3abbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 23.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 48c | 22.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…9fa1backed Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 20.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Inner Circle | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Inner Circle | 76c | 17.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…e960backed Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group AInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.