Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2b83f5ea8ab1febe6efbdf96d747038c033aebfb9b414c99a1188afd86e741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Synapseof DYNASTY, Team Synapse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Synapse | 46c | 10,502$4,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.65 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed DYNASTY | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Synapse | 47c | 5,650$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.94 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed DYNASTY | 72c | 3,314$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed DYNASTY | 48c | 2,535$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.31 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Synapse | 41c | 1,751$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.56 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Synapse | 34c | 1,484$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.24 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…74c5backed Team Synapse | 29c | 1,246$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Synapse | 27c | 1,144$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.7 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked DYNASTY | 66c | 1,065$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed DYNASTY | 59c | 999.9$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.94 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked DYNASTY | 58c | 735.2$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.93 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed DYNASTY | 57c | 666.66$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.52 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed DYNASTY | 58c | 638$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.16 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked DYNASTY | 58c | 637.43$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.64 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Synapse | 25c | 596.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.52 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DYNASTY | 52c | 484.77$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.89 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Synapse | 68c | 459.14$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.14 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked DYNASTY | 64c | 417.22$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.02 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Synapse | 34c | 408.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.24 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed DYNASTY | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed DYNASTY | 12c | 315.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Team Synapse | 25c | 297.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.71 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed DYNASTY | 16c | 287.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked Team Synapse | 38c | 270$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked DYNASTY | 53c | 268.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Team Synapse | 40c | 236.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.56 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked DYNASTY | 73c | 234.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.54 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DYNASTY | 49c | 234.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed DYNASTY | 71c | 218.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c76…fcc2backed DYNASTY | 66c | 214.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked DYNASTY | 26c | 211.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Synapse | 49c | 191.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DYNASTY | 66c | 183.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed DYNASTY | 48c | 180$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…640bbacked Team Synapse | 54c | 177.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked DYNASTY | 66c | 171.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed DYNASTY | 75c | 168.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed DYNASTY | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed DYNASTY | 48c | 147.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked DYNASTY | 21c | 142.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Synapse | 23c | 141$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…7612backed DYNASTY | 60c | 110.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DYNASTY | 19c | 106.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked DYNASTY | 48c | 104.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Team Synapse | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team Synapse | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed DYNASTY | 50c | 93.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed DYNASTY | 74c | 90.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked DYNASTY | 70c | 85.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed DYNASTY | 51c | 80.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Team Synapse | 25c | 77.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Synapse | 24c | 69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…fd13backed DYNASTY | 46c | 67.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DYNASTY | 36c | 59.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed DYNASTY | 67c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed DYNASTY | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked DYNASTY | 43c | 47.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Synapse | 37c | 43.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked Team Synapse | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed DYNASTY | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed DYNASTY | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Synapse | 51c | 38.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked DYNASTY | 47c | 36.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…3260backed DYNASTY | 48c | 31.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Team Synapse | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked DYNASTY | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…086fbacked Team Synapse | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DYNASTY | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed DYNASTY | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…e960backed DYNASTY | 74c | 18.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…75cabacked DYNASTY | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Synapse won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 2 WinnerTeam Synapse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.