Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefeb9fd8b70e0377db170cc78679478fe900c0c1b3e2e1409ee21be8c226a6a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Synapseof DYNASTY, Team Synapse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aff…b136backed DYNASTY | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed DYNASTY | 75c | 804.87$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Synapse | 54c | 739.35$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked DYNASTY | 26c | 611.13$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9805backed DYNASTY | 66c | 449.43$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…905abacked DYNASTY | 55c | 412.18$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Team Synapse | 43c | 318.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Synapse | 60c | 311.26$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked DYNASTY | 57c | 307.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked DYNASTY | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…547dbacked DYNASTY | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked DYNASTY | 32c | 299.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Synapse | 54c | 281$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…a00dbacked DYNASTY | 6c | 274.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Synapse | 35c | 262.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked DYNASTY | 66c | 224.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Synapse | 46c | 215.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed Team Synapse | 67c | 213.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Synapse | 51c | 212.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Team Synapse | 52c | 199.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed Team Synapse | 43c | 194.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed DYNASTY | 48c | 187.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Synapse | 22c | 182.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Synapse | 55c | 177.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked DYNASTY | 69c | 161.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Synapse | 41c | 159.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…f2eabacked Team Synapse | 63c | 159.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Team Synapse | 32c | 153.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Synapse | 42c | 149.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Team Synapse | 32c | 140.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Team Synapse | 56c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked DYNASTY | 61c | 133.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Team Synapse | 22c | 126.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Team Synapse | 34c | 114$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Team Synapse | 34c | 113.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked DYNASTY | 69c | 108.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.68 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed DYNASTY | 48c | 82.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed DYNASTY | 41c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…6984backed DYNASTY | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked DYNASTY | 58c | 78.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed DYNASTY | 22c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6552…baa4backed DYNASTY | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked DYNASTY | 45c | 66.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Synapse | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Team Synapse | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DYNASTY | 32c | 56.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked DYNASTY | 34c | 54.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Synapse | 58c | 51.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed DYNASTY | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Team Synapse | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked DYNASTY | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Synapse | 38c | 48.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Synapse | 34c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed Team Synapse | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked DYNASTY | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Synapse | 68c | 41.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Synapse | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Team Synapse | 46c | 36.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed DYNASTY | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Synapse | 47c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe087…bc81backed DYNASTY | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked DYNASTY | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…5efabacked DYNASTY | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 57cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…8a5cbacked DYNASTY | 50c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…393ebacked DYNASTY | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Team Synapse | 64c | 25.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Team Synapse | 43c | 23.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Synapse | 50c | 21.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DYNASTY | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fa…c3e2backed DYNASTY | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…516abacked DYNASTY | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 WinnerTeam Synapse won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 2 WinnerTeam Synapse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.