Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x178ffc7da77885a274e331bf76fc9a2f5e4fe5a691a27a0ba295e39aca52169a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Synapseof DYNASTY, Team Synapse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Synapse | 52c | 9,431$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.52 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Synapse | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.96 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 4,396$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.31 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Synapse | 65c | 4,278$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.15 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked DYNASTY | 46c | 3,403$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.56 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed DYNASTY | 69c | 2,579$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.81 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Synapse | 31c | 2,195$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.68 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed DYNASTY | 1c | 1,916$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed DYNASTY | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed DYNASTY | 44c | 1,353$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.57 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked DYNASTY | 52c | 1,075$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.38 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked DYNASTY | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed DYNASTY | 41c | 944.94$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.78 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed DYNASTY | 46c | 802.08$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.76 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked DYNASTY | 64c | 797.75$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.49 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked DYNASTY | 59c | 558.95$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.38 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed DYNASTY | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Synapse | 65c | 462.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed DYNASTY | 65c | 442.17$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.41 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…74c5backed DYNASTY | 44c | 439.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked DYNASTY | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed DYNASTY | 56c | 356.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed DYNASTY | 46c | 329.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…7612backed Team Synapse | 62c | 319.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…db1ebacked DYNASTY | 41c | 252.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DYNASTY | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Synapse | 56c | 231.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed Team Synapse | 39c | 224.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked DYNASTY | 44c | 193.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DYNASTY | 59c | 189.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked DYNASTY | 45c | 175.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked DYNASTY | 40c | 165.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed DYNASTY | 46c | 150.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed DYNASTY | 43c | 133.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed DYNASTY | 23c | 122.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed DYNASTY | 46c | 119.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DYNASTY | 54c | 116.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed DYNASTY | 61c | 113$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Team Synapse | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed DYNASTY | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed DYNASTY | 40c | 92.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed DYNASTY | 45c | 90.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -13.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Team Synapse | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked DYNASTY | 27c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked DYNASTY | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…c97abacked DYNASTY | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked DYNASTY | 48c | 61.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Synapse | 45c | 61.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Team Synapse | 78c | 57.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed DYNASTY | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked DYNASTY | 38c | 50.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed DYNASTY | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed Team Synapse | 62c | 48.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…603ebacked DYNASTY | 65c | 48.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed Team Synapse | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked DYNASTY | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…deddbacked DYNASTY | 69c | 42.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed Team Synapse | 51c | 42.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f83…086fbacked Team Synapse | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed DYNASTY | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 62.3%66 W · 40 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…75c2backed DYNASTY | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed DYNASTY | 42c | 36.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d7…3260backed DYNASTY | 45c | 35.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked DYNASTY | 59c | 25.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked DYNASTY | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Synapse | 56c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…e960backed Team Synapse | 64c | 15.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed DYNASTY | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Synapse won
- Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse - Game 1 WinnerTeam Synapse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.