TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd28…905a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$12.68
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$8.88
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.68
LoL: DN SOOPers vs LOS (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$31.99
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.91
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$64.59
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$20.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.1
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.36
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.3
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.66
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$41.78
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.34
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.86
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.91
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.91
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.92
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.