CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946bd26e80326e5713a1dc0c8ac58c9806da4189258e11b9bb63d2d27326fee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof Nuclear TigeRES, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 799.34$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.35 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed FORZE Reload | 55c | 627.54$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 567.73$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 78c | 565.7$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked FORZE Reload | 44c | 474.78$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.95 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…fd5bbacked FORZE Reload | 39c | 328.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 327.56$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 322.19$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 315.29$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.08 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 310.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 254.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…3303backed FORZE Reload | 50c | 236.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked FORZE Reload | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 182.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 164.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FORZE Reload | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked FORZE Reload | 55c | 145.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 143.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked FORZE Reload | 46c | 130.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 100.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 21c | 85.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…17bdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 82.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 74.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed FORZE Reload | 51c | 74.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FORZE Reload | 50c | 68.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed FORZE Reload | 39c | 64.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e9…2a7fbacked FORZE Reload | 35c | 63.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 62.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FORZE Reload | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 56.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 56.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 54.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 49.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FORZE Reload | 48c | 47.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked FORZE Reload | 30c | 44.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 43.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FORZE Reload | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked FORZE Reload | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked FORZE Reload | 32c | 35.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 34.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 31.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FORZE Reload | 46c | 28.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 44c | 27.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 25.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 22.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)FORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.