TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FORZE Reloadof Nuclear TigeRES, FORZE Reload
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,719
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,719 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked FORZE Reload30c11,582$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,159.566036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES70c5,959$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,171.467,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked FORZE Reload63c2,364$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.375658.9%33 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Nuclear TigeRES58c2,048$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.7751942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Nuclear TigeRES70c1,539$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.12646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Nuclear TigeRES70c1,274$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.1363157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked FORZE Reload34c1,250$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.9827740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Nuclear TigeRES54c1,213$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65543455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344d…fd5bbacked FORZE Reload32c1,025$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.91233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Nuclear TigeRES69c864.71$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FORZE Reload36c833.48$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.7540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Nuclear TigeRES71c800$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56824447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Nuclear TigeRES74c708.62$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52115962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff6…1963backed Nuclear TigeRES59c563.18$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.224560%27 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Nuclear TigeRES40c507$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9943237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuclear TigeRES19c473.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.553,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed FORZE Reload29c399.76$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4525142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…ecf5backed Nuclear TigeRES70c342.69$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.41540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a50…241ebacked Nuclear TigeRES30c328.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed FORZE Reload34c320.19$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.758637.2%32 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES67c308.92$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.084,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nuclear TigeRES45c255$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.752,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FORZE Reload30c242.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.11,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Nuclear TigeRES63c212.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.267372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Nuclear TigeRES51c205$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5515246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nuclear TigeRES68c188.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.033,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed FORZE Reload42c186$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.392,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuclear TigeRES52c181.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.833,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdbb…ff81backed Nuclear TigeRES30c173.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.412152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Nuclear TigeRES24c152.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.184822.9%11 W · 37 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Nuclear TigeRES56c150.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.216750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Nuclear TigeRES18c147.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.117837.2%29 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Nuclear TigeRES17c144$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.843348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FORZE Reload29c132.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.42,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed FORZE Reload31c130$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1632844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Nuclear TigeRES43c125.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2472139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FORZE Reload31c117.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2772353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3596…d91cbacked FORZE Reload58c109.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.812770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ae…17bdbacked Nuclear TigeRES52c106.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Nuclear TigeRES47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8255738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FORZE Reload54c101$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.112,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed FORZE Reload49c89.8$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.825440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed Nuclear TigeRES24c86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.846743.3%29 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Nuclear TigeRES49c81.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4070042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nuclear TigeRES70c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.661,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ef…647cbacked FORZE Reload50c79.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.915759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Nuclear TigeRES79c76.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0411551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES47c75.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.186,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FORZE Reload52c67.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.351,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FORZE Reload46c62.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.682,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Nuclear TigeRES70c61.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.967963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed Nuclear TigeRES54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.412544%55 W · 70 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Nuclear TigeRES70c59.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.711553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Nuclear TigeRES70c59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.323156.3%130 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Nuclear TigeRES70c53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.121750.7%110 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.915,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuclear TigeRES69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.561948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Nuclear TigeRES64c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed FORZE Reload31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.645748.1%220 W · 237 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked FORZE Reload36c39.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.632,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked FORZE Reload30c38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.68644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked FORZE Reload43c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Nuclear TigeRES35c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7212348.8%60 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Nuclear TigeRES38c29.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.295973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES65c29.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.894,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Nuclear TigeRES52c26.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8717648.3%85 W · 91 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Nuclear TigeRES66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.236749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa516…5b83backed Nuclear TigeRES71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.