CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d307a29e4a550fd858056a21d876ac764876b3060ae71edace590a4570374b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof Nuclear TigeRES, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 2,218$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.14 | 861 | 58.1%500 W · 361 L | +59.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 1,308$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.48 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FORZE Reload | 49c | 986.42$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.71 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…f447backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 870$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FORZE Reload | 56c | 828.07$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.2 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 646.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.03 | 1,042 | 53.1%553 W · 489 L | +62.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 473.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 314 | 52.9%166 W · 148 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 385.22$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.02 | 670 | 48.1%322 W · 348 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 357.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 365 | 44.7%163 W · 202 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 345.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.47 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Nuclear TigeRES | 38c | 317.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 305.86$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 410 | 44.9%184 W · 226 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Nuclear TigeRES | 38c | 283.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 577 | 39.7%229 W · 348 L | -22.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 231.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 223.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 660 | 54.1%357 W · 303 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 221.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 330 | 61.5%203 W · 127 L | +23.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FORZE Reload | 48c | 207.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.65 | 2,048 | 53.8%1,101 W · 947 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 128.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 128.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 118.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked FORZE Reload | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked FORZE Reload | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed FORZE Reload | 52c | 95.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 591 | 40.4%239 W · 352 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 88.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 83.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…b344backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 81.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 38c | 77.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 261 | 42.9%112 W · 149 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 76.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 324 | 41.4%134 W · 190 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b6…d6d4backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 71.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…f33bbacked FORZE Reload | 68c | 69.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 56.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 50.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 417 | 55.2%230 W · 187 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce0…c846backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked FORZE Reload | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 669 | 49%328 W · 341 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 36.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed FORZE Reload | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 30.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 260 | 34.2%89 W · 171 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7115…2b2fbacked FORZE Reload | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…6307backed FORZE Reload | 64c | 23.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FORZE Reload | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FORZE Reload | 63c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2,674 | 51.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FORZE Reload | 62c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FORZE Reload | 58c | 17.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…c89abacked FORZE Reload | 63c | 16.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 878 | 54.3%477 W · 401 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.