CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18400d559e3c14cb23bacc65376fe2bfe93ca8b9fa8e39f3af54e3d052d12766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 48c | 4,759$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Under | 48c | 693.61$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.16 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 47c | 625.21$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 402.36$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 48c | 386$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 305$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Under | 47c | 304$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Under | 48c | 301.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Under | 49c | 277.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 64c | 234.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 62c | 196.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 48c | 139.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 55c | 138.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…cecdbacked Under | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 48c | 80.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under | 48c | 66.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 52c | 41.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 50c | 37.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…a968backed Under | 47c | 35.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 52c | 31.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 48c | 27.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8a83backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5)FORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.