CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6504875ff7bddede2fb1c4247e4285468c84e7d4d80daba75d1e7ac915b263c7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NIPof NIP, Heroic
Resolved: Jul 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $135,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $150,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,092 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed NIP	57c	32,236$18,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,838.25	201	53.7%108 W · 93 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Heroic	43c	21,704$9,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,291.67	333	43.8%146 W · 187 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Heroic	45c	8,892$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	333	59.8%199 W · 134 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked NIP	57c	8,691$4,954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,736.99	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heroic	30c	6,649$1,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,987.89	3,256	50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L	+97.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked NIP	56c	5,000$2,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,175.53	383	58.7%225 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Heroic	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.99	371	57.7%214 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed NIP	73c	2,705$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.47	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked NIP	56c	2,624$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154.55	222	41.4%92 W · 130 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Heroic	45c	2,616$1,176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked Heroic	43c	2,605$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.19	158	38%60 W · 98 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0378…7634backed Heroic	46c	2,287$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.03	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked NIP	59c	2,105$1,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.66	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked NIP	67c	2,102$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.87	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Heroic	43c	2,009$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.62	765	46.7%357 W · 408 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Heroic	42c	2,000$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835	148	47.3%70 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Heroic	43c	1,889$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.26	113	46.9%53 W · 60 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic	44c	1,750$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	751	45.4%341 W · 410 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic	44c	1,617$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	1,621	44.8%726 W · 895 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked NIP	57c	1,602$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.69	323	48.9%158 W · 165 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked NIP	56c	1,470$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.02	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed NIP	55c	1,447$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.01	252	55.6%140 W · 112 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Heroic	28c	1,395$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	270	41.1%111 W · 159 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic	17c	1,199$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.09	2,608	30.9%807 W · 1,801 L	-103.7wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NIP	62c	1,186$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.28	2,309	45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L	-62.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed NIP	55c	1,140$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513.24	753	50.5%380 W · 373 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Heroic	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	239	38.5%92 W · 147 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Heroic	44c	1,092$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.56	1,062	42.2%448 W · 614 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NIP	58c	1,000$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	500	54.4%272 W · 228 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic	25c	975.04$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.66	6,466	42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L	-78.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic	43c	877$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.34	2,057	41.5%853 W · 1,204 L	-50.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Heroic	21c	845.14$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.28	4,897	37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L	-245.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Heroic	7c	816.96$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.19	226	29.2%66 W · 160 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed NIP	56c	749.98$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.49	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP	72c	709.29$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.6	547	32.2%176 W · 371 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Heroic	42c	699.99$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297	508	46.9%238 W · 270 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Heroic	12c	691.51$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.94	357	45.4%162 W · 195 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe800…6bfbbacked Heroic	43c	683.26$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.65	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP	56c	670$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.8	558	45.7%255 W · 303 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic	32c	666$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.72	604	34.1%206 W · 398 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed NIP	54c	650$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299	508	46.3%235 W · 273 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP	62c	634$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.13	5,262	31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L	-381.6wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Heroic	43c	581.4$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,314	44.3%582 W · 732 L	+47.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Heroic	30c	503.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	131	47.3%62 W · 69 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…6be5backed Heroic	15c	500$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.74	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Heroic	44c	472.1$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.72	1,476	51.8%765 W · 711 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic	12c	438.48$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.56	3,415	29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L	-275.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Heroic	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	184	44%81 W · 103 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Heroic	45c	399.97$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.99	554	41.2%228 W · 326 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Heroic	17c	351.64$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.61	518	42.3%219 W · 299 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed NIP	57c	349.99$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151	853	51.7%441 W · 412 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed NIP	57c	339.27$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.82	620	48.2%299 W · 321 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…0539backed Heroic	14c	335.57$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.98	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NIP	54c	310.54$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.86	2,599	47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L	-30.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed NIP	58c	304.8$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.51	1,360	66.3%901 W · 459 L	+75.4wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Heroic	25c	303.43$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.98	2,330	42.5%991 W · 1,339 L	-71.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Heroic	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	132	42.4%56 W · 76 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Heroic	36c	297$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.86	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x25d9…4d80backed Heroic	33c	271.55$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.61	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed NIP	57c	250$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.33	676	51.8%350 W · 326 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Heroic	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	538	50.6%272 W · 266 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked Heroic	17c	247.02$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34ab…4103backed Heroic	39c	246.85$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.27	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Heroic	23c	223.89$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	2,119	42.9%909 W · 1,210 L	-66.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Heroic	45c	221.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	211	47.9%101 W · 110 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Heroic	23c	212.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.53	160	38.1%61 W · 99 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked Heroic	42c	209.52$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	289	35.3%102 W · 187 L	-18.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Heroic	22c	202$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.85	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP	57c	201.16$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.61	3,165	45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L	-74.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked NIP	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Heroic	6c	176.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic	17c	168.34$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.12	4,661	43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd44…1e6ebacked NIP	55c	165.27$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.37	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked NIP	61c	146$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.94	352	42.9%151 W · 201 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Heroic	13c	141$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	2,343	46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L	-49.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ec…2711backed Heroic	31c	136.48$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.31	86	43%37 W · 49 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked NIP	79c	134.92$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.92	260	48.8%127 W · 133 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Heroic	35c	117.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-9.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88de…0950backed Heroic	27c	111.62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Heroic	43c	108$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.44	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP	60c	106$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.4	3,888	36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L	-197.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked NIP	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked Heroic	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	246	48.8%120 W · 126 L	+17.4wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Heroic	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	608	38.2%232 W · 376 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Heroic	18c	99.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.05	415	16.6%69 W · 346 L	-36.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked NIP	68c	97.25$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.25	485	66.2%321 W · 164 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked NIP	73c	96.74$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.26	2,084	47%979 W · 1,105 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Heroic	12c	95.86$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	401	37.2%149 W · 252 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked NIP	63c	92.77$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.32	389	41.9%163 W · 226 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Heroic	43c	90.47$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	377	59.7%225 W · 152 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed NIP	57c	90$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed NIP	56c	86.54$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.08	446	54.9%245 W · 201 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked NIP	57c	85.96$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.96	146	61.6%90 W · 56 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP	74c	82$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.61	2,491	41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L	-114.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Heroic	29c	76.64$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	1,830	41.6%762 W · 1,068 L	-68.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Heroic	19c	75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	1,303	26.5%345 W · 958 L	-89.1wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NIP	62c	75$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.31	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Heroic	18c	70$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	2,454	34.4%845 W · 1,609 L	-189.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Heroic	28c	66.03$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	498	41.8%208 W · 290 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked NIP	58c	65.6$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.55	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InNIP won
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event