CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7b3200cdf75d50f4aab77f5f39312da0f69cdd6e1752139e5138c6924ebfc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof NIP, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 23c | 5,931$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Heroic | 20c | 2,012$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.18 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic | 53c | 1,681$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.11 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…8d31backed NIP | 70c | 1,500$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic | 25c | 1,235$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.71 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 40c | 1,108$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.11 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked NIP | 77c | 1,064$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed NIP | 64c | 1,050$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.72 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed NIP | 47c | 876.62$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.01 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NIP | 75c | 749.99$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Heroic | 35c | 743.44$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.66 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NIP | 53c | 674.37$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.42 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Heroic | 45c | 672.58$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.03 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked NIP | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked NIP | 50c | 560.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Heroic | 23c | 550$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 54c | 522.87$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed NIP | 41c | 522$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic | 37c | 517.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.79 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Heroic | 44c | 516.7$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.24 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NIP | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed Heroic | 43c | 468.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.24 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 65c | 439.56$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Heroic | 40c | 421.55$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Heroic | 41c | 408.34$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked NIP | 64c | 371.68$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 36c | 346.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 75c | 332.32$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.95 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 37c | 325$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed NIP | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed NIP | 32c | 290$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Heroic | 23c | 271.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.81 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 77c | 270.43$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Heroic | 42c | 270$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 76c | 268$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.56 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 30c | 253.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NIP | 67c | 226.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed NIP | 75c | 212.53$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Heroic | 38c | 200.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…1acabacked Heroic | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed NIP | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked NIP | 48c | 188.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Heroic | 23c | 174$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed NIP | 60c | 172.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked NIP | 64c | 157.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Heroic | 13c | 154.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed NIP | 65c | 146.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Heroic | 47c | 136.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed NIP | 41c | 130.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Heroic | 25c | 124.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed NIP | 43c | 119.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 46c | 118.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Heroic | 44c | 113.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic | 33c | 105.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NIP | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NIP | 70c | 99.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Heroic | 17c | 95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Heroic | 49c | 94.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…4d80backed Heroic | 40c | 94.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…fcd8backed Heroic | 57c | 92.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked NIP | 70c | 87.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed NIP | 68c | 84.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NIP | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Heroic | 34c | 79.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Heroic | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NIP | 46c | 74.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed NIP | 52c | 67.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed NIP | 64c | 61.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Heroic | 34c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 46c | 55.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Heroic | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Heroic | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…f593backed NIP | 57c | 47.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Heroic | 30c | 40.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed NIP | 50c | 40.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed NIP | 56c | 34.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…b2ddbacked NIP | 74c | 30.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed NIP | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Heroic | 52c | 27.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed NIP | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked NIP | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…2890backed NIP | 71c | 24.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -6.6wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed NIP | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Heroic | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed NIP | 56c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…1ee9backed NIP | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NIP | 76c | 15.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-InNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.