TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof NIP, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic23c5,931$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,586.337,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Heroic20c2,012$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.1822241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic53c1,681$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.1115251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e4…8d31backed NIP70c1,500$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Heroic25c1,235$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.7161034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heroic40c1,108$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.113,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked NIP77c1,064$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81530223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed NIP64c1,050$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.7250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed NIP47c876.62$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0155039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed NIP75c749.99$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.516542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Heroic35c743.44$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.661,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked NIP53c674.37$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.4259839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Heroic45c672.58$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.032,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked NIP47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked NIP50c560.52$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28018444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Heroic23c550$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.751446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP54c522.87$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3640137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fca…6ac3backed NIP41c522$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.024643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic37c517.97$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7954732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Heroic44c516.7$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.2451942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed NIP39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Heroic43c468.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2427961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NIP65c439.56$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.834,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Heroic40c421.55$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.751,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Heroic41c408.34$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.58345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked NIP64c371.68$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.8837859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP36c346.26$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.572,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NIP75c332.32$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.952,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP37c325$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.365,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed NIP30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013147.3%62 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed NIP32c290$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Heroic23c271.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.8141853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP77c270.43$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.092,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Heroic42c270$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.493,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NIP76c268$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.562,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic30c253.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.976,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NIP67c226.75$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.274,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed NIP75c212.53$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4441475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Heroic38c200.02$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.415337.3%57 W · 96 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba2…1acabacked Heroic18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1645217.3%9 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed NIP53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011141.4%46 W · 65 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked NIP48c188.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Heroic23c174$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4820742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed NIP60c172.48$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7155738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked NIP64c157.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Heroic13c154.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed NIP65c146.44$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5724558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Heroic47c136.17$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1727740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed NIP41c130.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.991,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Heroic25c124.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1724152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed NIP43c119.68$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.158745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP46c118.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.152,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0378…7634backed Heroic44c113.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.335959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic33c105.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.633,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NIP10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed NIP65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6593261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NIP70c99.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.642,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Heroic17c95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.891,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Heroic49c94.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0748566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d9…4d80backed Heroic40c94.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.472128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe30a…fcd8backed Heroic57c92.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.983638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked NIP70c87.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.642,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed NIP68c84.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.84250%21 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked NIP47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.62,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Heroic34c79.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.32,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9454…9abcbacked Heroic20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6010254.9%56 W · 46 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked NIP46c74.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9844747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed NIP52c67.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1840457.2%231 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed NIP64c61.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2120059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Heroic34c58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9977146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP46c55.56$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Heroic54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2319457.2%111 W · 83 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Heroic48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7772353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc2…f593backed NIP57c47.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Heroic30c40.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7236856.8%209 W · 159 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed NIP50c40.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed NIP56c34.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0911557.4%66 W · 49 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ef…b2ddbacked NIP74c30.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.324571.1%32 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed NIP53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1539840.5%161 W · 237 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Heroic52c27.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.141,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed NIP40c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked NIP75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7527548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ae…2890backed NIP71c24.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.621612.5%2 W · 14 L-6.6wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed NIP59c22.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312544%55 W · 70 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Heroic54c20.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3748052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e1…b7d4backed NIP56c19.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa538…1ee9backed NIP59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed NIP76c15.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.142,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.