CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc538172cd2080e02a02d7de454796f8fa32b5011a9b3ea38996011ad5ca384d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grêmio Esportsof Grêmio Esports, QUINTESSÊNCIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Grêmio Esports | 58c | 848.14$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.09 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Grêmio Esports | 75c | 797.35$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.92 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 67c | 529.97$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…aa9fbacked Grêmio Esports | 36c | 524.24$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 58c | 377.32$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Grêmio Esports | 56c | 367.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 54c | 365.83$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 51c | 332.53$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grêmio Esports | 44c | 229.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Grêmio Esports | 37c | 200$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 42c | 181.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Grêmio Esports | 43c | 180.37$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 27c | 173$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 59c | 170.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 168.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 36c | 164.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 56c | 162.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Grêmio Esports | 66c | 158.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 42c | 143.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grêmio Esports | 53c | 137.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 57c | 134.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 56c | 131.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 37c | 118.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Grêmio Esports | 35c | 118.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 46c | 118.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 26c | 114.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 65c | 108$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 40c | 107.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 32c | 107.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Grêmio Esports | 54c | 100.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grêmio Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Grêmio Esports | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Grêmio Esports | 63c | 80.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grêmio Esports | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 47c | 67.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…0299backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 18c | 67.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grêmio Esports | 60c | 62.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Grêmio Esports | 35c | 60.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Grêmio Esports | 54c | 56.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 67c | 48.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…e129backed Grêmio Esports | 52c | 44.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Grêmio Esports | 37c | 43.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…c7d7backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 41c | 42.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 63c | 40.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Grêmio Esports | 56c | 35.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 43c | 33.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 64c | 30.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Grêmio Esports | 56c | 29.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 42c | 28.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 66c | 27.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Grêmio Esports | 50c | 27.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 57c | 25.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 54c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 1 WinnerQUINTESSÊNCIA won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 2 WinnerGrêmio Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.